berrywr
(Weather Analyst)
Fri Oct 29 2010 05:55 AM
Re: Perky Late Season Atlantic: 90L, 91L, 92L

Unfortunately while 3 tropical systems in the Atlantic our best candidate to become a late season hurricane has not been formally designated. This system has one chance in being a viable system and that is for the upper high currently over the system rides along and if it doesn't, it's game over as the system will ripped apart by shear which is 20 knots from the SW less than 100 miles to it's NW, 30 knots from the SW at less than 150 miles to it's NW. Shary is being covered by an upper low to it's SW and as separation occurs shear will become more pronounced and the progression of short-waves will spell the end of Shary being tropical in no more than a couple days. I don't doubt the Caribbean system looks impressive on satellite, but its days are numbered given the hostile atmosphere that lies ahead.


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