| CFLBob |
| (Registered User) |
| Thu Jun 22 2023 11:50 PM |
|
Re: 2023 Season Forecasts (Updated)
|
Is there a generally accepted explanation for the SSTs? Both this year and last seem to be on the high side of the distribution you provide.
I believe the AMO is on a downward trend now, or at least not as high as it was at the end of '22. I'm not as familiar with these cycles as I'd like to be. Since we're in a moderate El Nino, I was expecting a less active season.
CFLBob - Melbourne