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First, the meat of these long-range forecasts tended to include Florida: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Pre-season_forecasts If you would like to read their reasoning, it can be found here: http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/2005/dec2005/ Also, Accuweather made some pretty wild forecasts for this year, which I personally would not exactly call "accurate," but which did favor the "east coast" over some other areas. You can read some of their reasoning here in their preseason forecast: http://wwwa.accuweather.com/promo-ad.asp?partner=accuweather&dir=aw&page=hurr2006 As for North Carolina, that state sticks out of like a sore thumb, and as such, is easily whacked by any cyclones being drawn north or northeast. However, there has only been one official North Carolina landfall this season, so far, which is hardly a "trend" worth noting, imho. You can see this plainly for yourself, here: http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/2006/index.html |