(Weather Guru)
Sun Feb 25 2007 11:11 PM
Re: Questions on El Nino

This year a neutral to a moderate la nina will be in place come this hurricane season.Everything is pointing towards a busy season number wise but there is still alot of factors that will remain unknow for the next couple of months.It will depend on steering currents this year whether the U.S. see's tropical activity this season.Typically when capeverde systems develope in the far eastern atlantic they have very little chance of not getting kicked out to sea..The SAL will be another factor to moniter in the next 3-4 months as it really helped in surpressing activity in 2006.

One thing to remember dont focus on numbers predicted cause even a slow season has the potential to be a deadly one.It really doesn't matter whether we have 40 systems develope in 2007 cause the ones that actually make landfall are the ones that have the greatest impact.

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