Thanks for the link to his blog.

Stu Ostro is a very good writer. He is very grounded, cautious, doesn't hype nor does he rush to conclusions.

I've read other things he wrote and they are also enjoyable to read and I learn a lot.

And, I think what he says is true.. it is not the strength of the La Nina as much as the lack of El Nino.

And, I would add La Nina perhaps plays a bigger part in the track tropical systems will take once they do form.