|
|
|||||||
yes, looks similar to what I want. What's TWC ? They still need the windspeed-analysis, but only as a tool to predict damage. BTW. why limit to 5 categories representing the windspeeds ? Just give the speed. Or if folks can't remember their relations and significance, extent it to fractions like Cat2.7 , see earthquakes. I'd like several forecasters giving subjective expected damage predictions, (expectation value,deviation) and an analysis who gives best predictions as with the "competition" here with the several forecasters, forecasting-models. And prediction-markets trading damage-contracts, with the opportunity to "insure" by shorting damage-contracts. Well, there are catastrophe-bonds, but only for big institutions hmm... maybe I should start a different thread |