berrywr
(Weather Analyst)
Sat Nov 07 2009 02:04 AM
Re: 5-day wind shear analysis

I am not aware there are any graphics which forecast Wind Shear aloft beyond 96 hours but the US Navy does have model graphics and that link is - http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/cgi-bin/wxgrid.pl?aor+ngpshrcolor+aor+ngpshr+aor+avnshr. CIMMS out of the University of Wisconsin is who the NHC refers to when discussions speak of shear; that link is - http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real-...0000&loop=0 .

The evolution of Ida is to say the least extremely complicated. Ed is right and as I stated a couple of days ago short of Ida being subtropical or extratropical it cannot survive given the shear which resides in the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico and as analysis currently indicates as of 07/03Z.



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