Ed DunhamAdministrator
(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
Fri Jul 06 2012 11:43 PM
Re: El Nino, La Nina?

Here is a link to the latest NCEP discussion issued on July 5th:

NCEP ENSO Diagnostic Discussion

It suggests that we are heading for an El Nino in the July-Sept timeframe (probability is about 61%). This would tend to cut off later season storms due to increasing windshear across the Atlantic basin. Some forecasters have speculated that if El Nino does indeed materialize in the next month or so, the total number of storms for the season would likely end up around 11.

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