(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))

Fri Jul 06 2012 11:43 PM

Re: El Nino, La Nina?

Here is a link to the latest NCEP discussion issued on July 5th:

NCEP ENSO Diagnostic Discussion

It suggests that we are heading for an El Nino in the July-Sept timeframe (probability is about 61%). This would tend to cut off later season storms due to increasing windshear across the Atlantic basin. Some forecasters have speculated that if El Nino does indeed materialize in the next month or so, the total number of storms for the season would likely end up around 11.
ED

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center