Fri May 27 2011 11:33 AM
Hurricane Climatology

NHC has updated their web page on Tropical Cyclone Climatology. Really Nice Graphics.


Sun Jun 10 2012 12:33 PM
Re: Hurricane Climatology

Out of curiosity I checked the Farmer's Almanac for the next two months. Here's the result.

June 2012
8th-11th. Gusty thunderstorms, especially lower South, then fair.
12th-15th. Thunderstorms, then clearing.
16th-19th. Tranquil.
20th-23rd. Squally Gulf Coast. Big storms rest of the Southeast. Tropical storm threat for Florida.
24th-27th. Hazy, hot, humid.
28th-30th. Scattered showers, turning fair.

July 2012
1st-3rd. Fair.
4th-7th. Heavy thunderstorms from Gulf north, east into the Carolinas.
8th-11th. Scattered showers, thunderstorms.
12th-15th. Drying out , heating up.
16th-19th. Sultry conditions, then scattered thunderstorms.
20th-23rd. Mostly fair.
24th-27th. Scattered showers, then fair weather.
28th-31st. Humid, sticky weather, accompanied by hit-or-miss showers, thunderstorms.

August 2012
1st-3rd. Widely scattered showers, thunderstorms.
4th-7th. Fair, then scattered thunderstorms across parts of Southeast.

Hurricane Forecast from Farmer's Almanac.
This year, the Farmers’ Almanac is predicting a less active season. Our 2012 edition mentions only one potential hurricane threat in August, along the Gulf Coast from the 16th through the 19th. Moving into September, we see another possible threat for the Gulf Coast from the 8th through the 11th and a second, possibly related, system moving along the length of the East Coast, from the south into New England a few days later.

Now to see if the forecast is accurate.

August 2,2012 Update
August 2012
1st-3rd. Widely scattered showers, thunderstorms.
4th-7th. Fair, then scattered thunderstorms across parts of Southeast.
8th-11th. Hot and humid.
12th-15th. Ongoing threat of thunderstorms, some severe.
16th-19th. Wet system from Gulf of Mexico moves inland and brings copious rains to eastern Mississippi River Valley.
20th-23rd. Showery, then fair.
24th-27th. Hefty thunderstorm activity gives a glancing blow to the upper Tennessee River. Generally fair skies elsewhere.
28th-31st. Thunderstorms, some heavy, especially for Gulf Coast.

September 2012
1st-3rd. Scattered showers, a few thunderstorms during the Labor Day weekend.
4th-7th. Hot and oppressively humid.
8th-11th. Hurricane threat along Gulf Coast. Heavy thunderstorms.
12th-15th. Hurricane threat Southeast Coast.
16th-19th. A tropical disturbance dawdles off the coast. Showery, then clearing.
20th-23rd. Windy and rainy.
24th-27th. Squalls sweep across the region from west to east.
28th-30th. Another spell of unsettled weather.

Sun Apr 14 2013 07:36 PM
Re: Hurricane Climatology 2013

April 2013
12th-15th. Rain for much of the Southeast, including the final round of the Masters Tournament in Augusta.
16th-19th. Pleasantly dry.
20th-23rd. Heavy rain; squalls move up the East Coast, then clearing, pleasant.
24th-27th. Pleasant, but thunderstorms move into the Mississippi Valley by the 27th.
28th-30th. Thunderstorms Gulf Coast and much of Southeast, followed by clearing.

May 2013
1st-3rd. Pleasantly warm.
4th-7th. Scattered thunderstorms, followed by fair weather.
8th-11th. Widespread thunderstorms for Tennessee and western North Carolina; rainy across much of the Gulf Coast.
12th-15th. Clearing.
16th-19th. Showers for the Gulf Coast and most of the Southeast, then clearing.
20th-23rd. Fair weather.
24th-27th. Thunderstorms quickly sweep across the Gulf Coast and Southeast.
28th-31st. Scattered thunderstorms.

June 2013
1st-3rd. Sultry weather.
4th-7th. Big thunderstorms from the Gulf Coast to Carolinas. An early tropical storm is possible in the Gulf of Mexico.emphasis added~danielw
8th-11th. Mostly fair and dry.


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