MikeC
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(Admin)
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Tue Apr 19 2022 12:05 PM
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2022 Forecast Guesses
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Mine for this year is 16/9/3
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rmbjoe1954
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(Weather Master)
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Fri Apr 22 2022 02:30 PM
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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I believe we will be at 20/10/5. I also believe the entire Florida peninsula to be under the gun as a hot spot for the season.
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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My guess this year is 18/9/5 As for Florida probably a good chance for the southern half of the state and the Gulf area. We'll see. Good luck !
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doug
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(Weather Analyst)
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Fri Apr 29 2022 04:41 PM
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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As for now. 17/6/3…may change …
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M.A.
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(Weather Guru)
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Wed May 04 2022 11:49 AM
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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15/7/4
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GlenJohnson
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(Weather Hobbyist)
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Fri May 06 2022 02:42 PM
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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I'm guessing 18-9-3. We'll see if I'm right.
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EMS
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(Weather Hobbyist)
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Tue May 10 2022 01:31 AM
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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22 / 12 / 6 and I hope I’m way too high!
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JoshuaK
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(Weather Guru)
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Thu May 12 2022 12:12 AM
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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24/15/7
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Kraig
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(Weather Hobbyist)
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Sun May 15 2022 11:34 PM
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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My season guess is 21/11/4
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IsoFlame
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(Weather Analyst)
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Sat May 21 2022 06:34 PM
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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18/7/2
Even though my total/(intensity call is on the low end, in agreement with others that it may shape up to be a bad season for Florida- especially the peninsula.
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Bloodstar
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(Moderator)
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Fri May 27 2022 05:30 PM
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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At this point with La Nina active. I'm going to go with 23 named storms, 12 Hurricanes, and 7 Major
23/12/7
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vpbob21
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(Weather Guru)
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Sat May 28 2022 12:48 AM
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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20/11/6
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jtrnr1951
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(Registered User)
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Sat May 28 2022 06:38 PM
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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20,10,5
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IMTechspec
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(Verified CFHC User)
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Sat May 28 2022 09:39 PM
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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21 / 12 / 6
Hopefully it is not that high at the end of the season.
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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21-7-5 here. Watching Agatha from Florida like 
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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I expect another active season with overall anomalously favorable number of potential disturbances (waves, lows, etc.) coupled with lower shear, higher SSTs and higher humidity in the Atlantic in the aggregate.
As for US impacts, I anticipate a roughly 2-out-of-3 chance of higher than average numbers of hits, including that higher risk of direct hits. There also are some indications that the drought conditions in Texas could be loosening its grip, and perhaps there will be even greater numbers of TCs that form and/or move into the Gulf this year that aren't nearly as hampered by dry air entrainment from land in this region as looked more likely just a month ago, which would thus influence the overall intensity and rainfall totals for Gulf coast states impacted by TCs.
For season total numbers of TDs, Names, Hurricanes and Majors I'm looking for a range of
16-22 Depressions, 14-19 Storms of which 6-9 become Hurricanes of which 3-5 become Majors.
My best guess for this year's totals: 19 Depressions, 16 Names, 8 Hurricanes and 4 Majors
As a p.s., I lean into last week's Invest 90L being considered for addition post-season, potentially as a Depression or unnamed Storm, but my guess is not dependent on whatever happens there.
Good luck and have a safe season everyone!
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Psyber
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(Storm Tracker)
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Tue Jul 05 2022 04:06 AM
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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19/10/4
Can we try to promote the site more, Mike? I'd love to see s'more peoples.
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IsoFlame
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(Weather Analyst)
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Thu Dec 01 2022 07:22 PM
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Re: 2022 Forecast Guesses
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Mike's total named call (16) beat me (18), Mike was one over on hurricanes (9) and one over for majors (3). I was one under on hurricanes (7), but nailed majors (2).
Our calls for near average seasons were close, and my gut feeling about Florida peninsula being in play was spot on.
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