| IsoFlame |
| (Weather Analyst) |
| Fri Nov 10 2023 01:43 PM |
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22L Lounge
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Seems like the GFS has been calling for a TC to develop in the western Caribbean Sea for over a month, now the NHC 7-day tropical weather outlook mentions the possibility:
A broad area of low pressure could form in the southwestern Caribbean Sea by the middle of next week. Some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter as it meanders over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
The model-forecast area of broad low pressure in the western Caribbean has materialized and is now being tracked as an Invest, 98L, and the title has been updated accordingly
- Ciel 2023-11-15 18:00z
TWENTY-TWO 11-16-23 18:00z - Ciel
| IsoFlame |
| (Weather Analyst) |
| Mon Nov 13 2023 02:05 PM |
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Re: Broad area of low pressure developing next week in the SW Caribbean
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In addition to better chances for the SW Caribbean low to eventually develop this week, now there's modeling that suggests the non-tropical low that soaked coastal TX/LA last weekend will eject across the northern GOMEX this week (bringing much needed rain to the Florida peninsula), then wrap up into a fairly strong (989 mb) hybrid low off Florida's east coast later in the week before departing rapidly NE over the Atlantic.by next weekend.