another hurricane party
(Registered User)
Fri Jul 22 2005 01:24 PM
forecast models

Are any of the hurricane models used generally more accurate than the others

TAZMAN
(Weather Watcher)
Fri Jul 22 2005 01:40 PM
Re: forecast models

Are there any maps that have the actual path the hurricane took layed over the ongoing projected NHC path..... just to compare

Tazmanian93
(Weather Master)
Fri Jul 22 2005 02:05 PM
Re: forecast models

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at200505.asp?imgfeature=verification&textfeature=track

For a different storm, where it says at200505, just type in 01, 02, 03, 04 etc etc where ending 05 is


TAZMAN
(Weather Watcher)
Fri Jul 22 2005 02:18 PM
Re: forecast models

That helps but I was wondering about an accumulation from day 1... not having it reset as that one does

Clark
(Meteorologist)
Fri Jul 22 2005 03:18 PM
Re: forecast models

The FSU Superensemble has been the best track model over the past two seasons; beyond that, the ensemble mean (GFS, UKMET, GFDL, and NOGAPS) usually is up there, with the NOGAPS tending to be the best member model of those over the past few seasons. It changes from year to year, storm to storm.


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