Storm Hunter
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(Veteran Storm Chaser)
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Wed Aug 10 2005 05:47 AM
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Last 2 QuickScat passes
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going out on a limb.....think a new center at the surface has formed in the new convection to the south....i think i see pretty good signs of reformation....if this trend holds then there is a good chance of TS status today.....shear will be lighter and less dry air near the storm......oh yeah, warmer waters too plus a shift of initial track.....
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-ir2-loop.html
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berrywr
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(Weather Analyst)
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Wed Aug 10 2005 07:17 AM
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Negative on new center
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The center is between the two burst of convection and Irene looks like a tropical storm now on satellite, with convection wrapping very near the center. If you streamline the pattern, you'll clearly note the center between the two bursts. I do note the due west movement, and I suspect you'll see a shift in the forecast track though NHC as long as I can remember never radically jumps from it's current track in one advisory.
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ftlaudbob
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(Storm Chaser)
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Wed Aug 10 2005 02:06 PM
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Re: Negative on new center
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Looks to me like some rotation starting.
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