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allan
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(Weather Master)
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Mon Nov 06 2006 08:25 PM
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Still Quiet
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It is quiet. Though the CMC model continues to develop a tropical storm to hit Florida then out to sea! Other than that. I believe that there will be at least one more name to use, then that should be it. El Nino is strong now but it should weaken by next years Hurricane Season. Look at 1997 and 1998. Compare and contrast those 2 seasons. 1997 was just like this one and 1998 was more active. Hurricane Mitch developed that year with becoming the second strongest storm in the Atlantic Basin at that time. Wilma beat her up to it. Just think about that. Next year may not be so quiet. 
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allan
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(Weather Master)
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Mon Nov 20 2006 01:42 PM
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Re: Still Quiet
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Invest 94L.. it really should now be an invest area. Has a great signature to it, pressures are falling, what is up with the NHC? Hurricane Season is not over till November 30th. They need to tag this very soon before people start getting confused on why it is not an invest area. The CMC model did it again! First Alberto now what could be Joyce.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/rb-l.jpg
I'm calling it invest 94L now. 
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Re: Still Quiet
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I see you already have some comments up on this feature, Allan. I concur- this just about warrants a good Invest tagging now. On the plus side, rotation already is clearly evident in the mid-levels, and arguably is working down to the surface, as well. Convection is moderate and sometimes numerous, and generally turning with the mid-level rotation, albeit just gently. On the negatives, shear in the area is still running the gamut from hurtful to detrimental.
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allan
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(Weather Master)
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Thu Nov 30 2006 05:23 AM
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Re: Still Quiet
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hmm the shear in the western Caribbean has lightened a bit and a huge flare up on X95L has blown up a bit more today. We may need to tag this once again just in case it does something. Looks ok, still needs alot of work to gain a TD, could it happen though? We need to watch it, wont affect us here in the USA but Central America.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg
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