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LI Phil
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(User)
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Fri Aug 20 2004 04:52 PM
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TS Estelle
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TS Estelle has formed in the EPAC; 2 other Invests also up. Does this portend Atlantic development in a week to 10 days? 
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Keith234
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(Storm Chaser)
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Fri Aug 20 2004 04:59 PM
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Re: TS Estelle
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Yes, I do feel this could portend to what could happen in the Altantic in 5-10 days, if this is related with the MJO.
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Jamiewx
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(Storm Tracker)
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Sat Aug 21 2004 02:29 AM
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upcoming busy period
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I could agree with that too, NAO forecast to go postive in the short term, perhaps explaining the brief quiet period, but forecast to go negative again end of august, and with MJO's arrival, i think things could erupt soon. Western pacific also busy and with the tropical storm in eastern pacific about to cross 140 W into the central pacific, this pattern will be shifting into the Atlantic, and with the climatological height of the season approaching, all signs point to an upcoming busy period.
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