| WeatherNut |
| (Weather Master) |
| Wed Aug 30 2006 08:17 PM |
John/Kristy Fujiwara effect?
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Are these storms close enough for the Fujiwara effect to come into play? I see one of the models takes John right up the Gulf of California while the other ones go right out to see past the tip of Baja?
| Bee-Beep |
| (Verified CFHC User) |
| Wed Aug 30 2006 09:44 PM |
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Re: John/Kristy Fujiwara effect?
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It will depend on their tracks for the possible Fujiwara effect to take place(I doubt it though).
The latest models agree that it will probly go into the open water but the GFDL MODEL takes it to a possible landfall on the NE coast of Mexico and back into the Sea of Cortez and possible hit Baja Peninsula.
http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/ep200611_model.gif
| Bee-Beep |
| (Verified CFHC User) |
| Thu Aug 31 2006 12:10 AM |
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Re: John/Kristy Fujiwara effect?
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The models(Below) are for TS Kristy soon to be Hurricane Kristy.
The NOGAPS MODEL puts Kristy in a path where we could see a Fujiwara effect.
What is a Fujiwara effect? For those who wanna know...
"When the cyclones approach each other, their centers will begin orbiting cyclonically about a point between the two systems. The two vortices will be attracted to each other, and eventually spiral into the center point and merge. When the two vortices are of unequal size, the larger vortex will tend to dominate the interaction, and the smaller vortex will orbit around it.
The effect is often mentioned in relation to the motion of tropical cyclones, although the final merging of the two storms is uncommon. The effect becomes pronounced in these storms when they approach within about 1450 km (900 miles) of each other and are at tropical storm strength or stronger."
http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/ep200612_model.gif
| Storm Cooper |
| (User) |
| Thu Aug 31 2006 12:49 AM |
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Re: John/Kristy Fujiwara effect?
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John:
| Storm Cooper |
| (User) |
| Thu Aug 31 2006 12:52 AM |
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Re: John/Kristy Fujiwara effect?
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Kristy
| WeatherNut |
| (Weather Master) |
| Thu Aug 31 2006 03:11 PM |
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Re: John/Kristy Fujiwara effect?
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I was thinking that was what might have been causing the GFDL to have more of a trend northward, but I guess if it were a true Fujiwara, Kristy would show more effects than John...since John is the larger storm.