Ed Dunham
|
|
(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
|
|
Thu Jun 09 2005 01:21 AM
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Area of Interest - Western Caribbean Sea
|
|
Tropical Depressio number 1 has formed southwest of the Cayman Islands and is moving slowly northward. The center of TD#1 is poorly defined with most of the convection to the north and east of the center. SSTs are warm - near 30C and wind shear is light, but it will take another day for this system to get better organized. Models take the cyclone to the north and north northwest into the east central Gulf of Mexico. Intensification is probable - but it will be a slow process.
This is the place to post your thoughts on the future track and intensity of TD1 - and the reasons for those thoughts.
Cheers,
ED
|
|
ftlaudbob
|
|
(Storm Chaser)
|
|
Thu Jun 09 2005 01:50 AM
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TD1 Western Caribbean Sea
|
|
I really thought that she would look a little bit better tonight.But 8 days into the season,and we have a TD.There will be alot of late nights and early mornings this season for sure. 
|
|
St. David
|
|
(Weather Hobbyist)
|
|
Thu Jun 09 2005 02:02 AM
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: TD1 Western Caribbean Sea
|
|
it looks like its starting to try to rap around I say by morning it will be TS Arlene.
|
|
ftlaudbob
|
|
(Storm Chaser)
|
|
Thu Jun 09 2005 02:16 AM
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: TD1 Western Caribbean Sea
|
|
I really don't see any wrap around yet,thought I did earlier.I will take time.
|
|
St. David
|
|
(Weather Hobbyist)
|
|
Thu Jun 09 2005 02:35 AM
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: TD1 Western Caribbean Sea
|
|
yea the rap around is gone now but look at the showers firing up below the storm that tells me its streghtening a little. I say by 1 tomorrow we will have a Tropical Storm arlene.
|