Ed Dunham
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| (Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)) |
| Mon Aug 20 2007 05:01 AM |
Area of Interest - NNE of the Windward Islands
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The northern apex of a tropical wave well north northeast of the Windward Islands near 23N 59W at 20/03Z has maintained increasing convection for the past 24 hours and has the potential for slow development over the next couple of days. The wave is moving to the west at about 15 knots - something else to keep an eye on.
ED
| Unregistered User |
| (Unregistered) |
| Mon Aug 20 2007 11:10 AM |
Re: Area of Interest - NNE of the Windward Islands
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Hmm i have been watching this aswell,i noiced it yesterday evening. it looks better this morning as i see cloud of thunderstorms trying to wrap around a center.this one worries me becuase its right beside florida
| weathernet |
| (Storm Tracker) |
| Mon Aug 20 2007 11:40 AM |
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Re: Area of Interest - NNE of the Windward Islands
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Ed,
Interesting how at these higher latitiudes, any current formation would still appear to dictate a westward general motion. Whether or not this wave is able to further develop ( especially as CMC continues to indicate a Florida Hurricane landfall in several days ), this predominant motion may not bode well for the Greater Antilles or the SE U.S. if this "set up" remains in place for a good portion of the remaining season.
Andy
| madmumbler |
| (Storm Tracker) |
| Mon Aug 20 2007 11:40 AM |
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Re: Area of Interest - NNE of the Windward Islands
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How soon do you think before we have an invest? What conditions will cause the NHC to declare it an invest?
EDIT: Nevermind -- since I posted this the NRL has posted an invest. Oh boy.
| twizted sizter |
| (Weather Guru) |
| Mon Aug 20 2007 12:55 PM |
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Re: Area of Interest - NNE of the Windward Islands
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Doesn't surprise me. You could tell last night it was looking favorable & this mornings TWO mentions possible continued favorablity as well.
CMC loves it..GFS closes off a low but that's about it for now with the GFS...will change I'm sure. Too much late night Dean tracking but I believe last nights Euro developed 92L as well. GFDL showed a hint of something in last nights run as well but I haven't looked this morning to see if it still does.
Persistent convection & the placement of the high seem favorable for development & track over Fl it seems.
SFWMD has the 1st plots available on the main page as well.
| flanewscameraman |
| (Weather Watcher) |
| Mon Aug 20 2007 01:22 PM |
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Re: Area of Interest - NNE of the Windward Islands
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When it rains it pours.no pun intended, this will be an interesting one to watch for today and the days to come..it seems to be trying to pull itself together....we shall see
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Ed Dunham
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| (Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)) |
| Mon Aug 20 2007 03:01 PM |
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Re: Area of Interest - NNE of the Windward Islands
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Invest 92L continues to show developing organization. A weak circulation (perhaps transitory) was noted near 22.5N 56W at 20/13Z moving to the west northwest at about 15 knots. Some residual upper wind shear ahead of the system is expected to relax so I don't see anything that would prevent additional development of this system in the near term. Recommend that folks in the Southeast - especially Florida and Georgia - keep a close eye on this potentially troublesome system. System is currently about 2250 miles east southeast of Melbourne.
ED