Ed Dunham
|
|
(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
|
|
Thu Oct 11 2012 02:25 PM
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Patty Near Bahamas
|
|
At 11/12Z, Invest 97L was located at 25.5N 72.6W with sustained winds of 30 knots and a central pressure of 1009MB. The system is well formed with persistent convection and it has been drifting to the southeast for the past 24 hours. It certainly seems to meet all of the qualifications for a Tropical Depression but for some reason unknown to me, NHC has been reluctant to upgrade the system - perhaps the earlier NHC expectations for rapid frontal capture and movement to the northeast may have influenced their decision to hold off on any upgrade.
ED
Title edited to reflect upgrade.
|
|
ftlaudbob
|
|
(Storm Chaser)
|
|
Thu Oct 11 2012 03:22 PM
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: Area of Interest - Invest 97L Near Bahamas
|
|
It is now a TD,moving generally south.
|
|
LoisCane
|
|
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
|
|
Thu Oct 11 2012 04:57 PM
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Patty Near Bahamas
|
|
Looking good to me. I don't believe we should be taking into account whether she dies fast or slow, she is here and now on the maps and has looked good for more than the last 24 hours on visible imagery. Also, close in to land compared to many of the systems tracked this year.
(Title updated to reflect change in storm status.)
|
|
|
|
Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Patty Near Bahamas
|
|
She developed quickly since just yesterday, I thought the odds were pretty low. Anyone think she holds together enough to make it into the GOM? We DON'T need more rain here in FL at this point (53 inches so far this year in Tampa).
|
