MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Sun Oct 06 2024 07:08 PM
Milton Conditions in your area

This is to update how things are going on in your neck of the woods with Milton.

In Orlando, right now it's just rain rain rain.


GlenJohnson
(Weather Hobbyist)
Sun Oct 06 2024 08:49 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

Yup, outside Gainesville we've had just over 4 1/2 inches just today and we're in the center of the state. I'll be glad when this season is over.

IsoFlame
(Weather Analyst)
Mon Oct 07 2024 07:53 AM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

Predecessor rain event past 24-hrs continues along the entire Florida coast, and has produced 1-3" (3 to 5" locally) along and just inland Florida's east coast.

Off/on light/moderate to briefly heavy rain here in Daytona Beach Shores past 24-hrs totaled 1.53" at 7am obsn. Wind has been from the east generally 10-15 mph with occasional gusts to near 20 in the heaviest rain showers.


OrlandoDan
(Weather Master)
Mon Oct 07 2024 08:05 AM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

Got 1.23" so far here in Wekiva Springs starting Sunday.

OrlandoDan
(Weather Master)
Mon Oct 07 2024 11:52 AM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

At least one neighbor and I are going to board up tomorrow in Wekiva Springs. Too many old trees with water soaked ground. Branches and debris could be flying.

IsoFlame
(Weather Analyst)
Mon Oct 07 2024 02:37 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

2:30 pm... Since the 7am obsn we have had an addition 3/4" rain- so 2.25" past 18 hours. Interestingly, the overnight low was 72F (coolest low since late May) and it is currently in the low to mid 70'sF with no sun, and the high today so far was only 75F. These conditions suggest to me that north central Florida is on the north side of a stalled boundary associated with the upper-level low crossing the peninsula. Currently the east wind increased some from early this morning, currentlty 15-20 mph.

cieldumort
(Moderator)
Mon Oct 07 2024 07:17 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

Someone else's

IsoFlame
(Weather Analyst)
Tue Oct 08 2024 05:43 AM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

While not associated with Milton, starting at 5:30 am this morning, a narrow band of heavy rain with wind gusting to 30 mph is streaming in from the ENE off the Atlantic. This is associated with the increasing onshore flow on the backside of a departing low that is preceding Milton- a harbinger of expected worsening conditions for coastal Volusia tomorrow morning, north of where Milton exits central Florida (currently forecast to be near the Cape).

cieldumort
(Moderator)
Tue Oct 08 2024 01:52 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

A preview of what's coming

JMII
(Weather Master)
Tue Oct 08 2024 07:23 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

For Cape Coral / Ft Myers the following tide gauge will be critical:

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/inundationdb/cidstorm.html?stormname=Milton#

Ian registered a max of 7.26 feet, flooding the area.
Helene registered as 5.12 feet and everyone stayed dry.

This only speaks to surge not street flooding from rain

EDIT: corrected link above, the surge values are based Mean Higher High Water (MHHW)


IsoFlame
(Weather Analyst)
Wed Oct 09 2024 08:58 AM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

At 5 am: 82F, cloudy, wind east 15 mph gusting to 20. 24-hr rainfall total 0.88". Took the daily obsn for FL-VL-42 earlier this morning while walking the dog ahead scattered coastal showers (not directly associated with Milton) approaching from the E/SE off the Atlantic.

At 8:15 am a stronger, gustier band of rain came in from the ESE with wind gusts to 30 mph.


JMII
(Weather Master)
Wed Oct 09 2024 10:30 AM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

Two tornados - both heading NNW
#1 far NW Broward, moving along US27 near the WPB county line
#2 S of Lake O moving towards Moore Haven

possible 3rd on I-75 Alligator Alley about half way between Ft Laud and Naples


JMII
(Weather Master)
Wed Oct 09 2024 01:50 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

Water level has begun to rise in Ft Myers. Barometer has dropped to 999.8 from a high of 1007.7 at midnight.

IsoFlame
(Weather Analyst)
Wed Oct 09 2024 01:59 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

1:50 pm in Daytona Beach Shores: 79F, cloudy intermittent moderate to heavy rain (with thunder), wind ENE 25 mph gusting to 35 mph.

Radar indicated (as well as visually confirmed) multiple tornados racing north up the south half of the Florida peninsula embedded in scattered/ discrete cells 75-100 miles ahead (NE/E) of accelerating Milton's center of circulation. Based on this trend, expecting the most impactful weather in east central Florida will arrive later in the afternoon and early evening as the threat for tornados increases throughout east central Florida. This threat for tornadic wind will occur in bands of heavy rain accompanied by increasing ENE/NE winds of 50-60 mph potentially gusting to near hurricane force in the evening after Milton landfalls on Florida's west coast.


JMII
(Weather Master)
Wed Oct 09 2024 02:09 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

Quote:

Radar indicated (as well as visually confirmed) multiple tornados racing north up the south half of the Florida peninsula embedded in scattered/ discrete cells 75-100 miles ahead (NE/E) of accelerating Milton's center of circulation.




This is most tornadoes I've seen in a Florida hurricane. However we never had all these fancy smart phone apps with storm cell tracking and velocity readings before. My RadarScope app looks like a Christmas tree


Littlebit
(Weather Hobbyist)
Wed Oct 09 2024 04:18 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

Highest wind gust here in Plant City so far has been 29.8mph. 4.37 inches of rain with obviously no end in sight.

Lamar-Plant City
(Storm Tracker)
Wed Oct 09 2024 06:16 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

Also in Plant City (just west of the High School). Don't have access to gauges at this point but torrential rain and rising wind. Barometer at 992 and falling.

IsoFlame
(Weather Analyst)
Wed Oct 09 2024 08:56 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

NE wind has currently (8:45pm) slacked up a tad to 25 mph or so, gusting into the 30's here in Daytona Beach Shores. Around 8:30 pm in a rain squall it was NE 35-40 mph gusting into the low 50's. I haven't emptied the gauge since 5 am this morning. Eyeballing the tube and spillover probably around 3". Roar of breaking surf one block away is loud and constant, only unheard (at times) by the tropical storm force gusts and wind-driven heavy rain. Elsewhere in central Florida at 8 pm:

TAMPA HVY RAIN NE30G53 29.19F
DAYTONA RAIN NE37G54 29.62S
ORLANDO CLOUDY NE30G44 29.49F
WINTER HAVEN RAIN E32G59 29.30F


IsoFlame
(Weather Analyst)
Wed Oct 09 2024 09:06 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area


Major Hurricane Milton Makes Landfall Near Siesta Key Florida
Hurricane Milton Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024
900 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024

...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, EXTREME WINDS, AND FLASH FLOODING
CONTINUE AS MILTON MOVES INLAND ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...
...900 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE...

A sustained wind of 64 mph (104 km/h) and a gust of 93 mph (150
km/h) was recently reported at the Albert Whitted Airport in St.
Petersburg. A sustained wind of 78 mph (126 km/h) and a gust of 100
mph (161 km/h) was recently reported at a WeatherFlow station at
Egmont Channel. A sustained wind of 73 mph (117 km/h) and a gust of
102 mph (165 km/h) was recently reported at a WeatherFlow station
at Skyway Fishing Pier. A gust of 60 mph (97 km/h) was recently
reported at the Orlando Executive Airport.

The next update will be at 1000 PM EDT (0200 UTC).

SUMMARY OF 900 PM EDT...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 82.5W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM N OF SARASOTA FLORIDA
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SW OF ORLANDO FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES


Lamar-Plant City
(Storm Tracker)
Wed Oct 09 2024 10:15 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

Very intense rain and solid wind but nothing dangerous at 10:15p. Barometer down to 977 so we haven't bottomed out yet. 6 power flashes but it has come back each time. NWS issued a flash flood alert.

JMII
(Weather Master)
Wed Oct 09 2024 10:33 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

Pressure is coming back up in Ft Myers, it bottomed out at 990.2 @ 8:30 PM. Wind peaked at 55 mph.

Surge is still coming up unfortunately, its almost up to Helene levels based on the tide guage. High tide is 8:20AM tomorrow.


Littlebit
(Weather Hobbyist)
Fri Oct 18 2024 01:10 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

I know this is late, but Lamar how did you do? Our home flooded for the first time (we've been here 26 years). Weather station reported 11.74 inches of rain at 9:55pm. It obviously rained for hours after that. We were our own little island for awhile. Roof and support beams of lean to got ripped off and thrown into the strawberry fields next door. Trees and limbs down, destroyed the honey bee boxes. Power was out for six days, but luckily our home generator was centimeters from flooding so it kicked in. Internet just came back late last night. Part of our fence in the front yard came down, not just the fence, but the concrete it was set in was ripped out too. That was some wicked wind, I just wish I could have recorded it.

That was quite the experience!


Littlebit
(Weather Hobbyist)
Fri Oct 18 2024 01:18 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

The highest wind gust was 42.3mph at 9:44pm. The pressure was 980 at 9:55 pm. My weather station quit after the power went out so those are the latest it recorded.

Lamar-Plant City
(Storm Tracker)
Sat Oct 19 2024 11:36 AM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

Wow...I feel even luckier. We had no damage and only a few limbs down. No flooding here just west of the High School. Only lost power for about 30 hours. We got to run the generator Thursday and that was it. For us is was a nice practice run. I don't have a rain gauge anymore since I can't get to where I would have to mount it (disabled in a wheelchair) but I know we had nearly a foot. Cable was out for 6 days but I made it work though my phone enough. Glad you are safe and pray you have an easy time with insurance claims. So sorry about your bee boxes. I was planning to indulge in that when retired before my injury as I have had an interest for a long time. It was definitely the strongest wind I have experienced in this house but not much above hurricane force by the time it got here. Take care!

Littlebit
(Weather Hobbyist)
Sat Oct 19 2024 08:15 PM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

Glad to hear you're ok! We're in the Cork area between Miley and Knights Griffin.

IsoFlame
(Weather Analyst)
Tue Oct 22 2024 11:35 AM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

W/O power for 3 days post-Milton. Overhead internet line replaced last weekend after being severed by a vehicle the morning after Milton. My 69-yr old 2-story house did fine, though a small amount of water did make it past 2 rows of sand bags into the front entry way when roofing debris (foam and tarpaper) from structures to the east (the length of 2 football fields away) covered 3 of the 4 storm drains at the intersection near the house (front yard had water depth of 2' before I cleared the storm drains after sunrise.

Here is what I observed in Daytona Beach Shores (one block from the Atlantic Ocean) on the north side of hurricane Milton as the center exited near the Cape (45 miles to our south) early Thursday morning in Daytona Beach Shores, one block from the Atlantic Ocean...

Precipitation (5AM Wednesday-8AM Thursday): 15.8 inches. Rain gauge spilled over in the pre-dawn hours at 11 inches during the height of the hurricane conditions when I did not dare to go out to empty. A 5-gallon bucket (anchored down with a paver) measured 13" from midnight to 8AM, so storm total likely an inch or two higher.

Sustained wind speed (estimate): 80-85 mph
Highest gust (estimate): 95-100 mph

Based on structure damage and diameter of snapped tree limbs in my neighborhood, both on the immediate coast and several blocks off the coast given the funneling of wind between tall condos, the highest wind speed (estimate) of near 100 mph is similar to F1 tornado damage that I witnessed decades ago when I lived in North Brevard County.

Beach erosion was substantial here in central Volusia County. 3' of sand was scoured out in front of sea walls, and on the County's vehicle access ramps (Dunlawton, Demotte, Emelia) remain closed due to undermining (failure) of the concrete and asphalt surfaces. The damage from the 2022 storms was never fully repaired by the County, so these access ramps between sea walls remain extremely vulnerable to additional erosion while the County works on their 50-yr "Resiliency Plan".


JMII
(Weather Master)
Thu Oct 24 2024 11:47 AM
Re: Milton Conditions in your area

Quote:

when roofing debris (foam and tarpaper) from structures to the east (the length of 2 football fields away) covered 3 of the 4 storm drains at the intersection near the house (front yard had water depth of 2' before I cleared the storm drains after sunrise.




This happens a lot. I've experienced it several times in three different neighborhoods where I've lived. During Wilma my quick thinking neighbor got in their large truck and kept driving back and forth over the drain in an effort to move things around so the water would keep flowing. Personally I've raked leaves out of the drain during tropical storms in-between heavy rain bands. The force and weight of the water will completely seal off a drain once debris get packed on top of it.



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