MikeC
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| (Admin) |
| Mon Oct 20 2014 11:35 AM |
Tropical Depression Nine Moving over the Yucatan from the West
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5AM Update 22 October 2014
Tropical Depression 9 formed from 93L late last night and is now moving generally eastward over toward the Yucatan.
A tropical storm warning is up in Mexico there from Celestun to Frontera. Beyond this it is expected to weaken over the peninsula and re-emerge int he northwest Caribbean, where it becomes a bit more muddled. It is likely to dissipate by then.
If Florida receives any part of whatever becomes of TD#9, it would likely be mid to late next week.
Original Update
Hurricane Gonzalo has transitioned into extra-tropical and the remnants are moving quickly near Scotland, and Ana has moved to the west of the Hawaiian Islands. Ana did bring a lot of rough surf and rain to the Islands. (around 5 inches to Honolulu)
It's late October, but there are two areas currently being watched in the Atlantic, one in the far eastern Atlantic, 92L is likely to remain out to sea , and only has about a 30% chance to develop.
The other one, 93L is in the Gulf in the Bay of Campeche, and also has a 30% for development over the week. The more interesting aspect of this one is that it may affect South Florida or Cuba this weekend, most likely as a rainmaker or subtropical system. It should be watched through the week.
In general the Gulf/Western Caribbean may be active over the next few weeks.
{{NortheastGulfRadar}}
{{StormLinks|94L|94|10|2014|94|94L}}
{{StormLinks|TD#9|09|9|2014|09|Tropical Depression Nine}}
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Ed Dunham
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| (Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)) |
| Wed Oct 22 2014 02:53 PM |
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Re: Tropical Depression Nine Moving over the Yucatan from the West
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ADMIN NOTE
NOAA SSD Satellite Imagery has not been updated since 20/2145Z (about 36 hours ago). For current satellite images you can use NASA or SSEC links.
NASA MSFC Gulf/Caribbean IR Image
UW Madison SSEC North America IR Image
ED
| doug |
| (Weather Analyst) |
| Wed Oct 22 2014 04:14 PM |
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Re: Tropical Depression Nine Moving over the Yucatan from the West
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Welcome to the most interesting and challenging system of the year, with long term circumstances running from dangerous tropical cyclone in the Gulf in about 7 days to "gone baby gone". in a few days...
all anybody can say right now is "time will tell".
| Psyber |
| (Storm Tracker) |
| Wed Oct 22 2014 04:23 PM |
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Re: Tropical Depression Nine Moving over the Yucatan from the West
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Really what's obviously going to tell us is if it spins up in the Carribean. I'm not convinced it's going to move NE very fast once it comes back over the Yucitan. The sheer is fairly light east which has allowed it to stay a TD. The jetstream might just slow the high coming enough to give this some legs. It's a time thing really. The longer it boils, the more north I see it going IF it even makes it fully into warm water. South Florida residents should definitely be put on notice for this.