MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Thu Sep 14 2017 06:23 PM
Tropical Storm Maria, Lee, and Hurricane Jose

5PM EDT 16 September 2017 Update
Maria has formed frop Tropical Depression 15,

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* St. Lucia
* Martinique and Guadeloupe
* Dominica
* Barbados
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines

Puerto Rico and the Virgini Islands may also be directly affected by Maria. Beyond that too soon to tell, but the US should watch it also.


8AM EDT 16 September 2017 Update
Recon has a busy next couple of days ahead. Multiple flights are planned into Jose, with hunters now also starting to be tasked with Invest 96L, which is likely to be named this weekend, and which may in fact already be a tropical storm at the time of this update (there have just not been any reliable or conclusive microwave passes recently).

Tentative recon plans for the weekend include
Quote:


A. CONTINUE 12 HRLY FIXES OF JOSE
B. LOW LEVEL INVEST AT 17/1800Z NEAR 13.5N 56.5W.
C. A G-IV FLIGHT DEPARTING AT 17/1730Z FOR JOSE.
D. P-3 TDR JOSE FLIGHTS EVERY 12 HRS STARTING AT 17/2000Z.




Both Jose and 96L (Likely soon Lee or Maria) are potential threats to land next week. Elsewhere, FOURTEEN is still way out in the Atlantic.
-Ciel

5AM EDT 15 September 2017 Update
Tropical Depression 14 has formed in the east Atlantic (from 97L), this one is most likely to stay out to sea. 96L has an 80% chance for development over the next few days, and the eastern Caribbean Leewards should keep watch on this system.

Jose continues to churn in the Atlantic, and should be watched, particularly from North Carolina northward into New England as some of the models have it close or making landfall next week.

Original Update
Irma's aftermath is still being felt across the Caribbean and Florida, Southeast, but that is not the only storm. Jose, recently downgraded to Tropical Storm, is still worth monitoring since the edge of the cone is in the Outer Banks currently,

There is also two waves, 96 and 97, which should be watched into next week.

More to come later

{{StormLinks|Jose|12|12|2017|12|Jose}}

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{{StormLinks|Lee|14|14|2017|14|Lee}}

{{StormLinks|Maria|15|15|2017|15|Maria}}

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Florida
Florida State Emergency Management - Floridadisaster.org
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{{EastCentralFloridaMedia}}

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MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Fri Sep 15 2017 05:44 PM
Re: After Irma, Jose Needs to be Watched and More

Tropical storm and/or hurricane watches could be issued for portions of the Lesser Antilles on Saturday for 96L, it may be a Potential Tropical Cyclone advisory then.

MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Fri Sep 15 2017 06:55 PM
Re: After Irma, Jose Needs to be Watched and More

Jose appears to be back at hurricane strength based on recon reports.


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