Tue Nov 01 2022 09:45 PM
A November to Remember?

There is strong model support for system development this November, particularly including locations close to land, and so the state of the Atlantic more than warrants a new main page post to raise awareness that the season is not over and that this odd year may be going into some hurricane overtime.

In the near term and closest to landfall, a strong tropical storm, Lisa, is expected to become a potent hurricane overnight tonight, Tuesday, and possibly even Major prior to landfall along Belize/Yucatan sometime Wednesday night/early Thursday. Multiple recon missions are regularly flying the cyclone now, feeding critical information into the models and helping improve forecasts. Actions to protect life and property should begin regardless of Major or not, as Lisa is likely to be a dangerous cyclone at landfall either way.

Farther out at sea, Tropical Storm Martin is expected to become a hurricane as well, likely sometime tomorrow, and then a powerful Post-Tropical Hurricane-Force Cyclone on approach to Greenland.

We are also monitoring yet another feature with anomalously impressive late-season model support for development behind Lisa, around the Greater Antilles, and this may be of concern to Florida later on, but for now, remains "lounge" type speculation. Definitely an area to watch however, and we will have a Forecast Lounge up right away should something here start to form.



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