IMTechspec
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(Verified CFHC User)
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Wed Aug 08 2012 02:14 PM
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Tropical Wave near Hispaniola
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Any thoughts on the ULL and Tropical Wave interacting near Hispaniola? The upper level winds are a little complex, in part due to TS Ernesto, but not totally hostile.
Maybe it is just some entertainment for today, and will wash out later.
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doug
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(Weather Analyst)
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Wed Aug 08 2012 02:59 PM
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Re: Tropical Wave near Hispaniola
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It means lots of rain for the Greater Antilles in the immediate future. but that's about it.
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LoisCane
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(Veteran Storm Chaser)
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Thu Aug 09 2012 01:55 AM
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Re: Tropical Wave near Hispaniola
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You don't write off patterns.... there's a pattern going on here it's clear...
The wave before Ernesto followed the pattern... others will..
Remnants of Florence are not far behind the wave/ull trough... then 92... something so close in should be watched. A week or so ago a model spun up a storm in the Bahamas. Sometimes what the models hint at is more important than any one area... either way, interesting.
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weatherhead
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(Verified CFHC User)
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Fri Aug 10 2012 03:30 PM
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Re: Tropical Wave near Hispaniola
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There is a stationary cluster of thunderstorms just S of the ULL in the Caribbean. It has been persistent for almost the last 24 hours. No current circulation though. Just something to watch since it's close to home.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/flash-vis.html
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Re: Tropical Wave near Hispaniola
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The showers have persisted over south of Hispaniola for a while. It looks like SSTs are low in the area, is there upwelling going on?
Looks like it may be a wet weekend in Florida with all the energy streaming northward.
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Ed Dunham
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(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
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Sat Aug 11 2012 01:46 PM
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Re: Tropical Wave near Hispaniola
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Upper level low south of western Cuba near 18N 85W at 11/13Z could eventually develop a surface reflection. Convection is increasing and SST is about 28C. System is currently drifting north or north northwest. Just another area to monitor. ED
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srquirrely
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(Weather Watcher)
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Sat Aug 11 2012 05:23 PM
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Re: Tropical Wave near Hispaniola
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There's a fierce looking little surface low visible on the latest loops just east of Isle of Youth heading north...
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Re: Tropical Wave near Hispaniola
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1645Z: see attachment
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