CFHC
Reged:
Posts: 149
Loc: East Central Florida
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Bertha was reclassified as a tropical depression and looks good already, as it wanders slowly south into the gulf. This is a quick update letting everyone know in the NW gulf to watch out on this system. It's still moving very slowly.
Cristobal looks like it finally took the hint and is moving away.
More later...
NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor
Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, , , , , UKMET
Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Triopical Weather Center, Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut, Ed Dunham in our Storm Forum Even more on the links page.
- [mac]
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Rickoshade
Registered User
Reged:
Posts: 8
Loc: Mobile Al
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-vis-loop.html
check this post...if she's headed west, I am drunk!....she is heading deeper and deeper south....get ready...it'll be a TS by 6:00....and a hurricane?...by 11:00, and a category 3 in 36 hours...go babeeeee
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J.J.
Unregistered
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My, was I surprised to see this tenacious little swirl make it this afternoon...
Upper level conditions aren't bad, with weak to moderate easterly shear, and SSTs are quite warm. It will be interesting to see what Bertha does (or doesn't) do in her borrowed time over Gulf.
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greg-kfdmtv
Meteorologist
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Posts: 9
Loc: Beaumont, Texas
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Latest satellite pictures show that an upper level low is moving into Bertha from the east and is disrupting the circulation. In fact, radar out of Galveston and Lake Charles show that the center is basically impossible to find with the main rotation with the upper low.
The upper low will likely continue to be the dominate player with Bertha. It will be interesting tonight to see if the upper level low works to the surface.
Greg Bostwick
Chief Meteorologist
KFDM-TV Beaumont, Texas
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ShawnS
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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Where is all this firing up of Bertha that I've been reading about...HAHAHA! I don't see any deep convection what so ever. The sun is shining here in Houston right now. It doesn't really matter what she does now because we will not see much rain out of her. The rain is what we really needed around here.
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ShawnS
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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Why isn't there anyone on here now "beefing up" Bertha? I'll say it again, SHE"S A GONER! We only have a 40% chance of rain tomorrow: that should say something about what the weather guys here think of her.We've gotton more rain out of sea breeze fronts than what we will get from Bertha.I don't think that anything will happen with the "left overs" from Chris.,either. Well, the excitement was nice while it lasted, but it is pretty much over with now.
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ShawnS
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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Boy, I guess this is going to be my board tonight. GO ASTROS!!!
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ShawnS
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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Hey,Shawn, how's it going? Pretty good, thanks for asking. What do you think about Bertha? WHO??? Bertha, you know that thing in the gulf. Oh, the thing that SHOULD be downgraded again at the new advisory but won't be. By the way, what's the score of the Astros game? I think it's 3 to 1 Astros in the 5th right now. Talk to you later, dude.
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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but I think you might be suffering from tropical cyclonic post traumatic stress syndrome... hehe
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ShawnS
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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NO, I'm just trying to see how stupid I have to get to get someone to post on here. This site was on fire just earlier this afternoon, but now it's like it is the middle of winter. I just like it when there are posts to read.
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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actually it might be more of a tropical cyclonic (and lack thereof) generic traumatic stress syndrome... a very dangerous condition indeed.... early symptoms include posting to yourself on hurricane forum board... might want to consider professional help
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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Everyone is Stumped! They just don't know what to say 
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ShawnS
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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It shouldn't be that big of a surprise considering this is kind of what we went through last year. As fast as we thought something would really get going, it went "poof". I'm not insane, I'm just curious to know what other people's thoughts are on why this keeps happening.
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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Shawn the Chat room is kicking right now.
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ShawnS
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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I don't do chat rooms
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Robert
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 364
Loc: Southeast, FL
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Any one read the 11:00 o Clock discussion. South West movment, they are talking of possibly bailing on the models and doing it for them selfs.
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Robert
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 364
Loc: Southeast, FL
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Can Anyone else get on to the nasa satellite website, it always goes down when a storm is near. I think i see the same little swirl i saw with arthur before he developed in the gulf, right over the ne Bahamas with Cristobal????
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Larry
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 30
Loc: Raleigh, NC
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As Robert noted last night, the 5 am discussion also talks of discord between the models. They now assume Cristobal will be picked up by a trailing trough and move slowly east in a weak steering flow. The discussion then admits "CONFIDENCE IN THIS FORECAST TRACK IS NOT
HIGH."
What are everyone's thoughts? The system doesn't look healthy at all now, but what if it survives another day or so?
Joe Bastardi still thinks the patterns are favorable for development near Florida at the end of the week.
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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Christobal is getting left behind. Need to watch this as if it stays put he could get under the influence of high pressure building in. This could force him westward as shear relaxes later on tonight or tomorrow. east coast should montior this one this weekend. Cheers!! Steve H. Even if he gets yanked, check out the blowup of convection north of Puerto Rico. It's growing this morning.
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caneman
Unregistered
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Wake up everybody. Take a look at the area North of PR.
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