Colleen A.
Moderator
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Loc: Florida
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Just read the updated discussion for the Tampa area. Looks like they plan on "upping" the rain %'s and possibly extending and/or expanding the Flood Watch, but they want to wait for the 88D's, whatever they are, before doing that. They are also concerned about "spinups" in our area.
Didn't want to paste & copy the whole thing, just pare it down to the bare minimum of what's really the meat of the discussion.
It's getting breezy here and you can tell is getting closer....or at least her bands are getting closer.
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Terra
Storm Tracker
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Loc: Kingwood, Texas
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Chat was fun last night... we should do it again! Anyway, speaking of last night... I was just flipping channels and saw a lead for CNN Headline News where they mentioned the baby boom. A 26% increase in the number of births from last year... amazing!
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Terra Dassau Cahill
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Ricreig
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Posts: 431
Loc: Orlando, Fl
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Quote:
Chat was fun last night... we should do it again! Anyway, speaking of last night... I was just flipping channels and saw a lead for CNN Headline News where they mentioned the baby boom. A 26% increase in the number of births from last year... amazing!
... well, you know about power failures and CHEMISTRY, don't you Doctor? 
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jth
Storm Tracker
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Is it me or does it seem that the center has reformed NE of the position and closer to the t-storms. It certainly looks like that on sat pics. Could be my eyes playing tricks. It wouldn't change much except maybe up the intensity a little bit.
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Terra
Storm Tracker
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Loc: Kingwood, Texas
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Maybe I'm just weird (or single) but that would be the last thing on my mind when the electricity is out (i.e. no air conditioner) and I'm worried that the storm would cause damage!
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SkeetoBite
Master of Maps
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Posts: 298
Loc: Lakeland, FL
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Quote:
A bit OT, but I'll ask anyway... ;-)
Last year I thought the coolest feature on this site was the chart that combined the projected path, the cone of death, and the pridicted wind speeds, all on a map that showed the roads, towns, etc. I hope that explanation is enough to jog memories. Will this type of map be back for this year? I hope so!!!
I believe this is what you are looking for:
Yes, these maps will be back at this year. Note that these maps are created when a hurricane is within 2 or 3 days of landfall.
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Ricreig
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Loc: Orlando, Fl
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Quote:
Maybe I'm just weird (or single) but that would be the last thing on my mind when the electricity is out (i.e. no air conditioner) and I'm worried that the storm would cause damage!
I doubt DURING the storm was the time frame that all of the 'accidental chemistry' occurred  ... and if the air conditioning is off, well, you're already 'hot', aren't you? Doesn't that increase the intensity of 'chemical' reactions?
richard
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jth
Storm Tracker
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Nevermind....It was my eyes playing tricks. She certainly is moving at a much faster clip now though and the NW quadrant is starting to come into its own a little bit. We could still see her make minimal cane status. Phil don't eat that crow just yet.
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Droop31
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 32
Loc: Pensacola
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I see what your saying JTH, Im not to sure myself. Looks like she went due north from the western tip of Cuba since last night. Im guessing there is supposed to be a turn to the NNW or NW later on in the day, but thats anyones guess right now. 06Z seems to be on target predicting this movement north, then turning NW towards MS/AL.
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Droop31
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 32
Loc: Pensacola
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What direction is she going. Im not looking at any loops at the moment so could you give me and estimate of motion. Thanks.
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jth
Storm Tracker
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If I saw it correctly this last time, she is moving NNW. She appears to be crossing 85W now.
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Droop31
Weather Watcher
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Loc: Pensacola
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Thanks
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Cocoa Beach
Unregistered
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Good Link to watch:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42003
Wind Direction (WDIR): NE ( 40 deg true )
Wind Speed (WSPD): 27.2 kts
Wind Gust (GST): 31.1 kts
Wave Height (WVHT): 7.9 ft
Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 7 sec
Average Period (APD): 5.1 sec
Mean Wave Direction (MWDIR): E ( 96 deg true )
Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.69 in
Pressure Tendency (PTDY): -0.04 in ( Falling )
Air Temperature (ATMP): 77.5 °F
Water Temperature (WTMP): 81.1 °F
Dew Point (DEWP): 74.7 °F
Heat Index (HEAT): 79.3 °F
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Tazmanian93
Weather Master
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Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
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I think your right about that N move, http://www.boatus.com/hurricanes/hurricane_field.asp
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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.
Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!
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Ed
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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It's almost impossible to see what direction she's heading in...NHC says NNW, so I guess she's going NNW. Maybe she will begin that eventual turn to the NW soon, who knows. Or she might just ride right up the eastern side of the Cone of Death. I look at it this way: she's still moving in a more northernly fashion. While this really didn't matter when she was out in the open waters, it DOES matter now because as long as she's on that course, the worse the weather in Florida will be. I am actually surprised that with her being that close to the Keys that they have not put up TS Warnings for that area. But what do I know? 
As the old saying goes, "Time will tell."
p.s...they do have up TS Warnings for the Dry Tortugas. Just saw that on . They also said it looks like it's trying to form a , just north of Cuba.
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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bamffl
Unregistered
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SkeetoBite, that was it, thanks!
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LI Phil
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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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>>> p.s...they do have up TS Warnings for the Dry Tortugas. Just saw that on . They also said it looks like it's trying to form a , just north of Cuba.
well...it was bill keneely who said that, not jon nese...so we'll see if that actually takes place...as far as her movement, i still think it's nnw, but that boatus graphic tas posted certainly looks like a due north jog...
i still wouldn't be worried about winds from this, but the rains and the potential for severe weather within the bands are definitely going to have an impact
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Tazmanian93
Weather Master
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Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
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Tropical storm warnings remain in effect for western Cuba from Pinar del Rio to Havana and for the Dry Tortugas
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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.
Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!
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Ed
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jth
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 275
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That formation of the is what is making it look like she is reforming, but she is still chugging along on a NNNW direction.
That said, she is definitely east of her forecast position.
Edited by jth (Fri Jun 10 2005 01:46 PM)
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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That's true...but you can look at the radar and see what they mean by "trying" to form a . Wouldn't that mean that *if* that is happening it's not entrained in all that dry air to it's west but in a more favorable environment for development, like say, further east?  I'm not worried about the winds, I'm more worried about getting more rain than anyone needs, especially since half the county has roofs dressed in blue. 
The last time that site was updated was 8:02am. It'll be interesting to see where it is next. That's a pretty awesome website. Another one to add to my favorites!
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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