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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 239 (Idalia) , Major: 239 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 239 (Idalia) Major: 239 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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bn765
Weather Hobbyist


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Posts: 60
Re: Going West [Re: jr928]
      #40315 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:36 AM

Once this thing hits the gulf i know it will strengthen but how much does everyone think it will?? I predict it will be pretty significant and it will go back up to at least high category 3.

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Rasvar
Weather Master


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Re: Tornado watches [Re: SirCane]
      #40316 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:36 AM

Down to Cat 2 at 11:00pm advisory. Not surprised. Spent too much time over Cuba.

--------------------
Jim


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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
Re: 85 degree water [Re: TDW]
      #40317 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:37 AM

11 pm out at wunderground

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Colleen A.
Moderator


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Posts: 1432
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Good Links [Re: Big Red Machine]
      #40318 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:37 AM

Here's a great link to some awesome satellite imagery:

Wunderground Pix

Almost everything you want on one page.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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RedingtonBeachGuy
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Re: 85 degree water [Re: mbfly]
      #40319 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:37 AM

http://www.nola.com/newsflash/louisiana/...ylist=louisiana

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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


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11:00 forecast summary [Re: TDW]
      #40320 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:37 AM

July 8, 2005, 9:11 pm
Quick notes from the 9:00 NHC conference call.. all of this will be "official" on the 10:00 pm advisory.

Winds down to 95 knots
Pressure up to 962 mb
Latest position 23.0 N 82.1 W
Moving 310 degrees (NW) at 12 knots
Little change in forecast movement and track
Model consensus is still around Mobile to Pensacola
Considerable degradation over Cuba; even though satellite presentation showed "significant degradation," the inner core is still tight, and thus should lead to a quick reintensification once back over water.


Models... GFDL and GFS are to the right of the NHC track; the UKMET is to the left

Bottom line is no real change to previous thinking....


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OrlandoDan
Weather Master


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Re: 85 degree water [Re: TDW]
      #40321 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:38 AM

Does anyone know how to get English radio over the Net out of Havanna? I mean, does some Canadian or Mexican or anybody other than a US Citizen know how to get Havanna English radio? I assume there must be English Havanna radio, but......Oh well, I will quickly digrese to my political views.

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mbfly
Weather Guru


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Loc: Mobile, Alabama
Re: 85 degree water [Re: TDW]
      #40322 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:39 AM

Quote:

mbfly, Local news and a couple of web sites just announced it at 9:30 CDT.




Well, obviously I will need to pay attention at the upcoming report at 10 pm...... especially since I was planning on hunkering down right here in west Mobile !!!


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Rasvar
Weather Master


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Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
Re: 85 degree water [Re: OrlandoDan]
      #40323 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:41 AM

I have never heard any english stations out of Cuba. There may be some; but certainly not any of the booming clear channel stations on AM radio.

--------------------
Jim


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WeatherNLU
Meteorologist


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Posts: 212
Loc: New Orleans, LA
Re: 85 degree water [Re: mbfly]
      #40324 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:43 AM

New Orleans now under a Tropical Storm Watch.....interesting to me that they added us to the watches.

--------------------
I survived Hurricane Katrina, but nothing I owned did!


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Terra
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: 85 degree water [Re: mbfly]
      #40325 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:43 AM

Does this thing move more north during the day and more west at night? It's northwest motion is so unpredictable...

--------------------
Terra Dassau Cahill


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Rasvar
Weather Master


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Re: 11:00 forecast summary [Re: Frank P]
      #40326 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:45 AM

My rough guess is that at current motion and speed, Denis emerges from Cuba in about two-three hours. I am sure he has left a very nasty swath through Cuba. I was listening to what i could get from the hurricane net on my ham radio early. My antenna stinks, so I really was unable to pick up any of the Cuban stations. Was hearing mostly reports from the Keys, though.

--------------------
Jim


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Colleen A.
Moderator


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Re: 11:00 forecast summary [Re: Frank P]
      #40327 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:45 AM

Thanks for that post, Frank. I'm not even going to ask you how you got in on the conference call; you might have to kill me.

So basically, everyone's in the same boat we were 6 hours ago. At least most of us knowwhat to expect. I just hope it doesn't bomb out again on it's way up to the Panhandle. My heart really goes out to everyone up there in harms way.
Check back in a little while.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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RedingtonBeachGuy
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Posts: 342
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Re: 85 degree water [Re: OrlandoDan]
      #40328 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:46 AM

http://www.radiohc.org/english.html

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bamffl
Verified CFHC User


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Loc: Tampa, FL
Maybe it's just me... [Re: BillD]
      #40329 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:48 AM

Does anyone know if the powers that be (NWS, NHC, etc.) buy discount keyboards that have stuck Caps-Lock keys? Very minor nit-pick, I know, but why in the heck are all the advisories in all caps? Sorry, this is probably WAY OT...

--------------------
You're just jealous because you can't hear the voices...


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msmith43
Verified CFHC User


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Posts: 18
Loc: South Tampa
Re: 11:00 forecast summary [Re: Frank P]
      #40330 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:48 AM

Anything in the recent advisories/conference calls/etc. to explain the "little bump" in the GFS model?

Edited by msmith43 (Sat Jul 09 2005 02:50 AM)


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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


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Thus far NHC has been magnificant... [Re: Colleen A.]
      #40331 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:52 AM

Got to give kudos to the NHC, thus far they have pretty much nailed this storm relative to its projected track... now they are going to have to earn their pay because a lot of lives are at stake..... I think the forecast track may have shifted a few miles west, but basically insignificant... For Pensacola's sake I hope it starts trending back to the east... boy, I just can't image the stress on those poor people...

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Rasvar
Weather Master


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Re: Maybe it's just me... [Re: bamffl]
      #40332 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:53 AM

Holdover from the teletype weather wire days. I think it is an international standard that advisories be issued in all caps. Probably would have to be a change at the World Meteorlogical Organization level to change it.

--------------------
Jim


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MarcoResi
Weather Watcher


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massive thunderstorm!! [Re: Rasvar]
      #40333 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:58 AM

Marco is getting a lot of lightning right now and the palms have started to sway a little. I just hope that Easten high stays there

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OrlandoDan
Weather Master


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Loc: Longwood, FL
Re: Maybe it's just me... [Re: bamffl]
      #40334 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:58 AM

I Agree. This is a hold-over of the old COBOL/Assembler/FORTRAN LANGUAGE DAYS. wOOPS. I AM TYPEING IN ALL CAPS....:)

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