Kevin
Weather Master
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Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
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Quote:
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No-it didn't work, not even after refreshing the webpage. I'll try clearing my cache now.
That's probably the best idea. Cache clear, restart browser. If your problem persists, it's time for a hammer.
Tried cleaning cache and restarting the browser. POS still didn't load. Here's the homepage for all of this stuff:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/tropic.html
That webpage loads for me, but when I click on any of the menu items on the left side of page, I get the hurricane looking background, but nothing else loads.
Any ideas? If not, I will got get my hammer!
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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If that storm gets bigger...it won't matter if it's off the west coast of Florida by 100 miles...we're gonna get wet at the very least. It already looks to be the size of Texas!
-------------------- You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Mike S
Registered User
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Posts: 3
Loc: Crestview, FL
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The projections are still a bit wide for me to place any bets on it landing anywhere on the peninsula, and it's not really my kind of odds for it to even hit Florida at all.
Well I hope your right, but at least the people around here are not taking any chances after last year. The gas cans bragaids are out in force, and I imagine most of the lumber yards will be empty by friday along with the gas stations from the looks of it. I still haven't gotten all the trees out of my yard from and as wet as it has been I imagine we'll lose the rest if it comes this way again.
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Droop31
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 32
Loc: Pensacola
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I must say the update you have for us on the main page Clark is excellent. You did an awesome job explaining everything that could influence . I like how you keep the door open for landfall anywhere along the eastern/central gulf. Lately it seems people are latching on to a New Orleans hit, Not that its out of the question, it certainly isnt but there are many other areas around the gulf that may have to deal with . Like I said a few days ago, Im thinking landfall will occur somewhere from Morgan City to Applachicola. I know its a large area but we are 4 to 5 days out, theres no reason to be specific right now. Watch the trends and pray we have some upwelling in the gulf from and Cindy, if not there isnt much else that will slow down . Have a good night everyone and happy tracking.
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Clark
Meteorologist
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Posts: 1710
Loc:
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There is a little bit of upwelling and mixing in the Gulf from Cindy, but it is confined largely to the north of the Yucutan. Most of the waters north of there to the Louisiana coast are same of the warmest in the basin -- and are especially deep with that warmth -- meaning that when coupled with the relatively fast motion of the storm through to landfall, there is little signature of the storm there.
With projected to emerge north of Cuba, it is not likely to feel any of the ocean temperature impacts from Cindy. Note that was too long ago -- a month now -- for its effects to still be around. A tropical storm will only typically impact ocean temperatures for 5 or so days; stronger hurricanes can have longer-lasting impacts, but not a tropical storm.
-------------------- Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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Lysis
User
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Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
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I am sitting on my back porch watching a bunch of guys boarding up one of my neighbors homes. ...I guess better safe than sorry, right?
-------------------- cheers
Edited by Lysis (Wed Jul 06 2005 09:45 PM)
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pcola
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
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Clark I hope you are right. It seems every hurricane that comes to this part of the gulf makes the dreaded "right turn". Opal, Erin, , , etc all seemed to turn to the north or Right as they got about 100-150 miles from land. Accuweather says it is because the water is cool here (compared to the rest of the Gulf) Tonight the Gulf Temp is 83 at Pensacola Beach.
-------------------- Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!
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danielw
Moderator
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Posts: 3526
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Quote:
Clark I hope you are right. It seems every hurricane that comes to this part of the gulf makes the dreaded "right turn". Opal, Erin, , , etc all seemed to turn to the north or Right as they got about 100-150 miles from land. Accuweather says it is because the water is cool here (compared to the rest of the Gulf) Tonight the Gulf Temp is 83 at Pensacola Beach.
And all this time, I thought it was because the upper air systems influenced the turn.
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Prospero
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 268
Loc: Gulfport, FL
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I have a question or two.
Watching the water vapor loop:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-wv-loop.html
I see a wave of sorts that starts at about 68/25 and seems to ripple north to 68/30 or so. It is subtle, but does appear to come from .
Is this a phenonemom that is common?
What effect does it have on the surrounding air masses?
-------------------- Gulfport Florida Webcam - Gulfport Florida Weather Station - Clearwater Beach Cams
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VandyBrad
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 80
Loc: Bryan, TX
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I've been out of the loop for the past several hours working on some data, but I just glanced at the forcast models to see what is going on. Am I seeing the 18Z correct? I think I see a frame that shows with Cat 5 winds just prior to landfall in Cuba. Just want to make sure I'm reading the models right. Thanks...
-------------------- Brad Shumbera
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Lysis
User
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Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
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I can't help but see a stronger northward componant, especialy in the last few frames. Perhapes my eyes are playing tricks on me, after watching about 1000 of these loops today...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html
-------------------- cheers
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ronnie_b
Unregistered
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yep, 141 knots at friday 8AM EDT just prior to landfall in west-central Cuba from the 18 Z run. That coverts to 161 mph if I've done my math correct.
Can we say that will be the brother of Camille? I know the tends to over do it, but probably a CAT 4 is not out of the realm of possibility.
Remember, that's the 18Z model. Before became a hurricane. The 00Z model will replece that in around 3 hours.
Edited by danielw (Wed Jul 06 2005 10:37 PM)
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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I've been noticing that, too. If you put your finger on the first loop and watch it till the end, you can definitely see a more NW movement instead of WNW. Guess we'll know soon enough. I definitely don't think it's a jog.
Than again, I'm not a met and I don't jog.
-------------------- You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
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Posts: 829
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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If it stays on it's current track,it woud hit the middle keys.And there is some info that suggest it could be a little east of that.So South Fl. is far from being out of the woods.
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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PolkBB
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 15
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Quote:
I can't help but see a stronger northward componant, especialy in the last few frames. Perhapes my eyes are playing tricks on me, after watching about 1000 of these loops today...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html
It does appear that way but it will be interesting to see how that path continues as navigates through the islands.
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Tropics Guy
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 252
Loc: Miami, Florida
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Latest infrared is showing that is developing a strong eyewall and continues to look better organized. I have him currently moving at 305 degrees which will take him just to about the NE corner of Jamaica continuing towards the south coast of Cuba. Think will be a CAT 2 by tomorrow morning or midday at the latest.
TG
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PolkBB
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 15
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The 11PM discussion is coming soon. I wonder if the will address the "apparent" NW "jog".
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Ryan
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 281
Loc: Long Island, NY / Stuart, FL
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all i can say is watch out a Mobile, AL..your up on the plate..again
i believe you got , Cindy, and expect ..sorry
-Saty safe Mobile-er's..
Ryann
-------------------- 2006 Atlantic Season Summary:
Bad, But Not AS Bad.
Life's a Storm, Watch Your Back
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jth
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 275
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I can't make up my mind which one is going on here tonight. I have seen nothing in the loops to suggest a NW movement. There was possibly a jog earlier, but the last few frames show a jog back to the west...generally still a wnw movement. That said, it does now appear he will graze the north coast of Jamaica.
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
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Posts: 829
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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And it has slowed once again,you all know what I think that means.
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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