adogg76
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 53
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-wv-loop.html
Are we sure about the track not changin' East more?????
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MikeC
Admin
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Posts: 4544
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Quote:
I hear that it will track in a more northerly direction, not threatening the Caribbean.
True, but those models suggest it'll pass north of the islands, but beyond that it has the chance not to be a fish spinner. we'll get there when we get there. Hopefully it'll stay out to sea.
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SkeetoBite
Master of Maps
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Posts: 298
Loc: Lakeland, FL
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Quote:
here's some hurricane research image..... (this is not official)
http://hurricane.methaz.org/hurapak/AAL042005_impact.png
Now that is useful. Thanks for the post.
Clark recently sent me data to help us render maps like this with the official data. Heavy math, but we'll get it sorted out.
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
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Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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Just got my power back on.Huge waves at the beach,and alot of stuff on the streets.Newspaper stands blown over.Power still out in some parts of town.A SW gust to 55mph.Tornado watch just extended to 4:00pm.
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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nl
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
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so is it really safe too say its over for the penisula? whats the trough looking like? i cant tell by looking at the wator vapor loop.
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recmod
Weather Guru
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Posts: 188
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Looking at the recent IR loops, here is what I am seeing....which is from the eyes of a complete amateur:
I notice that the huge convective plume that extended far east and south of the hurricane's center appears to be cutting off from the main circulation. In layman terms, I believe the hurricane is consolidating it's energy into the main core, which would allow intensification. The interraction with Cuba caused the circulation and associated weather to vastly expand over a much larger area. With these errant feeder bands appearing to "pinch off", this will allow the focus of energy to reassert itself on the main core....does this make any sense whatso-ever...or am I seriously sleep deprived?
Also, the Key West radar is showing a continued steady NW jaunt....no signs of any Northward turn. Also, look at the eyewall convection exploding from the Key West radar's vantage point (although open on the NW side as confirmed by latest vortex data)
Key West Radar Loop
--Lou
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nl
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
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i see it now from the nw atlantic wator vapor loop. whats the eta on this huge trough dipping? its going pretty fast from the nw too the se. 
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SirCane
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 249
Loc: Pensacola, FL
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Well, Pensacola is in trouble. Not even a year since . I feel for the beaches. They are going to take a big beating.
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Direct Hits:
Hurricane Erin (1995) 100 mph
Hurricane Opal (1995) 115 mph
Hurricane Ivan (2004) 130 mph
Hurricane Dennis (2005) 120 mph
http://www.hardcoreweather.com
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WeatherFlow
Registered User
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Posts: 1
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Some additional weather data from WeatherFlow stations in Florida:
http://www.sailflow.com/dennis/
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jlauderdal
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 97
Loc: Fort Lauderdale, FLorida
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Just got my power back on.Huge waves at the beach,and alot of stuff on the streets.Newspaper stands blown over.Power still out in some parts of town.A SW gust to 55mph.Tornado watch just extended to 4:00pm.
i broke down at 10 last night and moved the stuff off the pool deck. I am a mile form the beach in NE FLL and it was blowing pretty good and I am glad I did because about 4 am we were rocked by a squall line.
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adogg76
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 53
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So when are we gonna get some data for this new wave in Easter Carib.......Very impressive this morning.......
Too much attention to or really just not developed yet???? And another wave beyond that......Busy July!!
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h2ocean
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 91
Loc: South Merritt Island, FL
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Here are two more links to weather observations...
Just click on the circles...
http://www.anythingweather.com/state.aspx?id=fl
This is the NWS Mesonet and includes observations from home weather stations (mine is listed). You can zoom in by making a little square over a specific area and control what data you want - ie wind gusts.
http://www-frd.fsl.noaa.gov/mesonet/
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h2ocean
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 91
Loc: South Merritt Island, FL
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Actually, a few of the models have two lows out in the Atlantic next week - I assume in addition to the healthy wave (low) they are picking up the mass of storms that will exit Africa in a few days. GEEZ!
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luvmysunshine
Registered User
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Posts: 1
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Hopefully, this isn't too dumb of a question...We're in Fayetteville, NC originally on our way to Orlando. Would it be safe down I-95 today? If not all the way to Orlando, maybe down into Georgia?
Thanks for the help.
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nl
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
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so what is the eta on that trough from tx its huge. i know the hurricane travels slower than that trough so what is the eta?
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 944
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Quote:
Hopefully, this isn't too dumb of a question...We're in Fayetteville, NC originally on our way to Orlando. Would it be safe down I-95 today? If not all the way to Orlando, maybe down into Georgia?
Thanks for the help.
Relatively safe on I-95. Expect some brief squalls once you're in Florida/south Georgia.
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Michael
PWS
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tpratch
Moderator
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Posts: 339
Loc: Maryland
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95 South into Georgia should be fine until later this evening.
In Brevard County (Cocoa Beach/Melbourne/Palm Bay), we haven't gotten rain yet, although I'm expecting that to change in the next hour or so.
Not to mention, you should have an easy drive to I-4.
*as stated above me, expect rain depending on the time of your departure.
Edited by tpratch (Sat Jul 09 2005 12:59 PM)
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adogg76
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 53
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As long as he does not turn!!!!
Conditions will be bad tho......prob the whole trip!! Sorry, but i do not feel the pressure of tourism in my wallet, so it is not in MY best interest to keep people coming to the state to spend money, in spite of any concerns about weather.
After last year, many businesses have not recovered fully, many structures still have damage......any strong "feeder bands" today will surely leave a trail of damage. Trees that have been clinging since last year, will finally let go......if winds get above 55 mph or so......traffic lights and power transformers start going which leads to utter confusion on the roads......
Restaurants will not have the quality food or service you expect......trucks unable to deliver, power outtages, people stranded at home!!!! It does NOT add up to your families ideal Disn#y vacation.......
Personally, I drove North on 95 during IRENE in '99 at traffic was horrible, vision was very limited, and that was in the tail end of it!! Storms are no fun to drive thru.......of course you may get pummeled too if you stay in GA.....
Maybe Jacksonville for a day or two??? ok beaches with some good surf from the storm.......provided it does not turn.....
just my thoughts......live in Melbourne right near 95!!!!!
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tpratch
Moderator
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Posts: 339
Loc: Maryland
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Remember though, I-95 is on the East Coast of the state.
The weather there is going to be nothing like I-75 on the West Coast. In fact, it'll be pretty close to our usually rainy summer weather. I appreciate the concern, but telling people that the East Coast is in for nasty weather isn't wholly accurate - unless the storm comes a little closer in that is 
*Irene was a nasty one, but she was on the East Coast, to be fair.
Palm Bay off of 95, here.
Cheers.
Edited by tpratch (Sat Jul 09 2005 01:09 PM)
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adogg76
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 53
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hmmmmm......current Eyewall replacement????? Watch out at 11am adv!!!!
Strating to think he may meander in GOM like Jeane did in ATL last year!!!!!
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