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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 239 (Idalia) , Major: 239 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 239 (Idalia) Major: 239 (Idalia)
 


Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge

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Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 223
Loc: Polk City, FL
Invest 92/TD7/Harvey?
      #46059 - Fri Jul 29 2005 11:44 PM

I am a true novice... take nothing I say for fact. That is why I am posting this in the forum for "gut feelings."

However, I feel that TD7/soon to be Harvey will take a path that is a mixture of Elena and the 1935 Labor Day Storm. I feel that it will make landfall, or come within 50 miles of shores somewhere between Venice and Marco Island, then track NNW along the coast somewhere between 105-115 mph.

I feel that this will be the case given this year's model trends (start east @ first forecast, end up further west, ie Dennis and Emily originally aiming @ the peninsula), and the forecast ridging.

Don't count on this, I'll probably be totally wrong, but it is my current strong opinion, and I wanted a place to post it... just in case I'm right.

Thanks for humoring me by reading this post.


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Storm Cooper
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Loc: Panama City , FL
Re: Invest 92/TD7/Harvey? [Re: Big Red Machine]
      #46060 - Fri Jul 29 2005 11:47 PM

Unless I am really out there I think you mean TD # 8.....

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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


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Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 223
Loc: Polk City, FL
Re: Invest 92/TD7/Harvey? [Re: Storm Cooper]
      #46074 - Sat Jul 30 2005 01:27 AM

Hurricane season flies when you're having fun.... Thanks, you're right, TD8

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Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 223
Loc: Polk City, FL
Re: Invest 92/TD7/Harvey? [Re: Big Red Machine]
      #46110 - Sat Jul 30 2005 03:04 PM

Well this one didn't quite pan out... I call this "exhibit A" as to why I am not a pro forecaster

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