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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)

Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Fred
      #86899 - Mon Sep 07 2009 10:22 AM

Strong tropical wave (Invest 96L) located south of the Cape Verde Islands near 12N 22W at 07/12Z moving west at 12 knots. Low pressure center associated with the wave with winds of 25 knots and a pressure of 1007MB.

Conditions favor additional development since a small area of low-level banding is already evident, although at the moment, most of the convection is located to the west of the low pressure center. The system should move to the west for the next 24 hours before taking a track more to the west northwest.

Another area to monitor is a convective flareup in the Bay of Campeche.

Edited by Ed Dunham (Tue Sep 08 2009 10:30 AM)

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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1835
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Fred [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #86904 - Tue Sep 08 2009 06:17 AM

One of the best-looking TCs I've ever seen for so far east. At the rate Fred is organizing, with its internals already so well put-together, and shear likely to remain at least somewhat favorable for another day, maybe longer, topping out at 65 knots seems like it could end up being a very conservative forecast.

Edited by Ed Dunham (Tue Sep 08 2009 10:30 AM)

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Ed in Va
Weather Master

Reged: Fri
Posts: 489
Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Fred [Re: cieldumort]
      #86925 - Sun Sep 13 2009 07:57 PM

NHC now up from yellow to orange with Fred...maybe we're not done with him yet

Survived Carol and Edna '54 in Maine. Guess this kind of dates me!

Edited by Ed in Va (Sun Sep 13 2009 07:59 PM)

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Reged: Wed
Posts: 3518
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Depression Fred [Re: Ed in Va]
      #86927 - Mon Sep 14 2009 07:54 AM

Fred is still there. I'm beginning to think Fred is trying to tie the longest named storm record.
Convection is still cyclic, and for the most part confined to the NE Quadrant.

Stay tuned...

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