1:00 PM 9 September Update
Grace has opened up into a wave well east of the Caribbean. Significant regeneration is unlikely over the next several days in the face of high shear and abundant dry air, but the remnants could trigger a few showers and thunderstorms along its path.
East of Bermuda, TD Eight has also been compromised by high shear. As Eight tracks north this shear could relax a bit, but the cyclone will also be traveling across increasingly cooler waters, which should limit potential future development.
-Ciel
5:30 AM 8 September Update
Grace has had a somewhat sustained convective flareup overnight and remains a 40MPH Tropical Storm, for now. Within the next 72 hours increasing shear and potential dry air entrainment could all but snuff out the fledgling cyclone, however.
In addition to Tropical Storm Grace, this morning two new disturbances are being watched closer to home: Invest 92L with a moderate chance of development, and a very small, but tightly-wound, quasi-tropical low centered just southeast of St George Island (no Invest tag yet).
92L will probably meander a bit before turning more north later this week - and most likely stay out at sea. The small Gulf of Mexico low is presently producing rounds of blustery showers with gusts to near tropical storm force over a very small area, and will probably move inland later today or tomorrow without becoming a named system.
-Ciel
Original Entry
Tropical storm Grace has formed in the far eastern Atlantic and is forecast to move generally westward over the next 5 days,with some strengthening earlier on and more hostile conditions later that would likely keep it weaker.
Those in the Eastern Caribbean islands will want to watch Grace, but conditions haven't changed all that much yet from when Erika went by, so the trend of weaker to the west is the most likely scenario for Grace. As always, things can change in the tropics, so it will be important to keep watch.
Fred is still holding as a depression, and has a chance to reform into Tropical Storm strength again in a few days. It will likely not affect any more land directly.
94L Event Related Links
Animated Model Plot of 94
SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 94
(Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 94 (Animated!)
Clark Evans Track Plot of 94
Other Model Charts from Clark
Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 94
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 94 -- RAMMB Info
Floater Satellite Images:
Visible
(Loop),
IR
(Loop),
WV
(Loop),
Dvorak
(Loop),
AVN
(Loop),
RGB
(Loop),
Rainbow
(Loop),
Funktop
(Loop),
RB Top
Loop)
93L Event Related Links
Animated Model Plot of 93:
SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 93:
(Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 93: (Animated!)
Clark Evans Track Plot of 93:
Other Model Charts from Clark
Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 93:
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 93: -- RAMMB Info
Floater Satellite Images:
Visible
(Loop),
IR
(Loop),
WV
(Loop),
Dvorak
(Loop),
AVN
(Loop),
RGB
(Loop),
Rainbow
(Loop),
Funktop
(Loop),
RB Top
Loop)
Grace Event Related Links
Animated Model Plot of Grace
SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Grace
(Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Grace (Animated!)
Clark Evans Track Plot of Grace
Other Model Charts from Clark
Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Grace
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Grace -- RAMMB Info
Floater Satellite Images:
Visible
(Loop),
IR
(Loop),
WV
(Loop),
Dvorak
(Loop),
AVN
(Loop),
RGB
(Loop),
Rainbow
(Loop),
Funktop
(Loop),
RB Top
Loop)
Henri Event Related Links
Animated Model Plot of Henri
SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Henri
(Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Henri (Animated!)
Clark Evans Track Plot of Henri
Other Model Charts from Clark
Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Henri
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Henri -- RAMMB Info
Floater Satellite Images:
Visible
(Loop),
IR
(Loop),
WV
(Loop),
Dvorak
(Loop),
AVN
(Loop),
RGB
(Loop),
Rainbow
(Loop),
Funktop
(Loop),
RB Top
Loop)
StormCarib Reports from the Caribbean Islands
Caribbean Weather Observations
Barbados Brohav Weather Fax
Caribbean Broadcast Corporation (TV/Radio from Antilles)
San Juan, PR Radar Long Range Radar Loop
(Latest Static)
Base
(Static)
1 HR Rainfall
(Static)
Storm Total Rainfall
(Static)
Various Caribbean Radio Stations
DR1 Dominican Republic Hurricanes
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