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Monitoring possible development off coast of North Carolina next week and also a weak Low in the NW Caribbean this weekend

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 7 (Isaias), US Major: 737 (Milton), FL Any: 7 (Isaias), FL Major: 737 (Milton)

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Archives 2020s >> 2025 Forecast Lounge

MikeC
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Posts: 4870
Loc: Orlando, FL

Re: Erin Forecast Lounge
Fri Aug 15 2025 06:45 AM

Now with some recon data, models are aligning on the between Bermuda and North Carolina route, with differences on how close to one or the other is it. Even the icon, which is still the furthest left, started going back to the right. The other close approach is Newfoundland, but none of the models make landfall there either.

Story will be heavy surf and erosion along the areas the Erin gets closes to.

I think Erin is mixed this morning, better structure but getting hit by a streamer too, all under relatively high pressure, short term oddness to shake out. Wherever the area of convection currently just off North Carolina goes is probably where Erin gravitates to when it gets up there

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Erin Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Fri Aug 15 2025 06:45 AM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	cieldumort	Mon Aug 18 2025 03:46 AM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	Bloodstar	Mon Aug 18 2025 09:23 PM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Aug 16 2025 05:27 PM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Aug 16 2025 02:48 PM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Aug 16 2025 10:00 AM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 13 2025 07:26 AM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	CFHC	Wed Aug 13 2025 02:49 PM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 13 2025 05:32 PM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 14 2025 06:22 AM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	IsoFlame	Thu Aug 14 2025 11:29 AM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Fri Aug 15 2025 06:45 AM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sat Aug 16 2025 10:46 AM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sat Aug 16 2025 01:54 PM
Re: 97L Forecast Lounge	cieldumort	Sun Aug 10 2025 10:55 AM
Re: 97L - East Atlantic Wave (40%)	cieldumort	Sun Aug 10 2025 10:38 AM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	MikeC	Sat Aug 09 2025 06:28 AM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	MikeC	Sat Aug 09 2025 02:11 PM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	MikeC	Sun Aug 10 2025 07:15 AM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	MikeC	Sun Aug 10 2025 12:38 PM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	MikeC	Mon Aug 11 2025 06:47 AM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	MikeC	Mon Aug 11 2025 06:58 PM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	MikeC	Mon Aug 11 2025 08:40 PM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	MikeC	Tue Aug 12 2025 07:21 AM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	Kraig	Tue Aug 12 2025 04:58 PM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	OrlandoDan	Tue Aug 12 2025 12:48 PM

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