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EPAC systems again to bring more rain to SW US. Atlantic is back to El Niño status quo.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 6 (Isaias), US Major: 736 (Milton), FL Any: 6 (Isaias), FL Major: 736 (Milton)
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General Discussion >> 2026 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumortModerator
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Posts: 2935
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: W Carib-Gulf Window Oct 6-14 Invest TBD
      Wed Sep 30 2026 09:12 AM

In general, this window favors development from all the usual suspects in and around the Gulf. However, anything that might want to form from a front in the northern Gulf could just trend more subtropical or at the very least sheared/struggling, while anything that might want to form in the Bay of Campeche (Central American Gyre-born/EPac crossover/tropical wave) looks to have much better odds of being purely tropical with potentially a higher intensity ceiling. Upper level winds/lift forecast to become quite favorable over the BoC during the middle of this window, as can be seen below.



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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Isaias Lounge cieldumortModerator Wed Sep 30 2026 09:12 AM
. * * Re: Isaias Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Oct 08 2026 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Isaias Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Oct 08 2026 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Isaias Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Oct 08 2026 01:55 AM
. * * Re: Isaias Lounge OrlandoDan   Thu Oct 08 2026 08:17 AM
. * * Re: Isaias Lounge JMII   Thu Oct 08 2026 08:47 AM
. * * Re: Isaias Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Oct 08 2026 12:39 AM
. * * Re: Isaias Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Oct 07 2026 10:04 PM
. * * Re: NINE Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Oct 07 2026 02:13 AM
. * * Re: NINE Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Oct 07 2026 12:31 AM
. * * Re: NINE Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Oct 07 2026 12:11 AM
. * * Re: NINE Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Oct 06 2026 11:48 PM
. * * Re: NINE Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Oct 08 2026 09:27 PM
. * * Re: NINE Lounge JMII   Fri Oct 09 2026 11:03 AM
. * * Re: NINE Lounge IsoFlame   Fri Oct 09 2026 11:37 AM
. * * Re: NINE Lounge OrlandoDan   Fri Oct 09 2026 03:31 PM
. * * Re: NINE Lounge JMII   Fri Oct 09 2026 04:19 PM
. * * Re: NINE Lounge OrlandoDan   Sat Oct 10 2026 06:46 PM
. * * Re: NINE Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Oct 06 2026 11:54 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Oct 06 2026 04:06 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 06 2026 06:15 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 06 2026 10:55 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Oct 06 2026 02:41 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Oct 06 2026 12:04 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Oct 06 2026 02:33 AM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Oct 06 2026 10:45 AM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Mon Oct 05 2026 02:47 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Oct 05 2026 09:33 PM
. * * Re: W Gulf Area of Interest cieldumortModerator   Mon Oct 05 2026 12:52 PM
. * * Re: W Gulf Area of Interest cieldumortModerator   Mon Oct 05 2026 12:09 PM
. * * Re: W Gulf Area of Interest cieldumortModerator   Mon Oct 05 2026 11:59 AM
. * * Re: W Gulf Area of Interest cieldumortModerator   Mon Oct 05 2026 01:59 AM
. * * Re: W Gulf Area of Interest cieldumortModerator   Sun Oct 04 2026 04:37 PM
. * * Re: W Gulf Area of Interest cieldumortModerator   Sun Oct 04 2026 01:19 PM
. * * Re: W Carib-Gulf Window Oct 6-14 Invest TBD cieldumortModerator   Sun Oct 04 2026 03:23 AM
. * * Re: W Carib-Gulf Window Oct 6-14 Invest TBD MikeCAdministrator   Sun Oct 04 2026 09:58 AM
. * * Re: W Carib-Gulf Window Oct 6-14 Invest TBD MikeCAdministrator   Mon Oct 05 2026 06:48 AM
. * * Re: W Carib-Gulf Window Oct 6-14 Invest TBD CFHCAdministrator   Mon Oct 05 2026 02:01 PM
. * * Re: W Carib-Gulf Window Oct 6-14 Invest TBD cieldumortModerator   Sat Oct 03 2026 02:20 PM
. * * Re: W Carib-Gulf Window Oct 6-14 Invest TBD cieldumortModerator   Sat Oct 03 2026 03:49 AM
. * * Re: W Carib-Gulf Window Oct 6-14 Invest TBD cieldumortModerator   Fri Oct 02 2026 11:37 PM
. * * Re: W Carib-Gulf Window Oct 6-14 Invest TBD cieldumortModerator   Fri Oct 02 2026 03:04 AM
. * * Re: W Carib-Gulf Window Oct 6-14 Invest TBD cieldumortModerator   Wed Sep 30 2026 09:12 AM

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