PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 954 AM EDT MON AUG 01 2011 (edited~danielw)
VALID 12Z FRI AUG 05 2011 - 12Z MON AUG 08 2011
...THE MODELS ARE ALSO STRUGGLING TO RESOLVE A POTENTIAL TROPICAL SYSTEM ORIGINATING FROM AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY IN THE VICINITY OF 55-60W LONGITUDE.
OPERATIONAL MODEL TRACKS RANGE FROM THE CENTRAL GULF IN THE 00Z UKMET TO E OF THE FL PENINSULA IN THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF.
YESTERDAYS NHC/HPC COORDINATED TRACK TO THE E OF THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS BY DAY 6 SUN IS NOW EASTWARD OF THE CURRENT MODEL ENVELOPE.
PREFER TO AWAIT TODAYS 17Z COORDINATION FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES... WITH THE UPDATED PRELIM FORECAST DEPICTING ONLY A MODEST WESTWARD ADJUSTMENT BETWEEN CONTINUITY AND THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF ALONG WITH STRENGTH SIMILAR TO CONTINUITY. CONSULT THE LATEST NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR FURTHER INFO REGARDING THIS FEATURE.
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