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metwannabe
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Reged:
Posts: 92
Loc: NC
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola
      Wed Aug 03 2011 05:06 PM

SATELLITE AND AIRCRAFT FIXES INDICATE THAT THE EXPECTED TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST HAS NOT MATERIALIZED YET...WITH EMILY STILL MOVING
WESTWARD OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS. SO FAR MOST OF THE DYNAMICAL
MODELS...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE ECMWF...HAVE HAD A NORTHWARD
BIAS. EVEN THE LATEST RUN OF THE GFS STILL REFORMS THE CYCLONE
NORTH OF THE HIGH TERRAIN OF EASTERN HISPANIOLA. THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST HAS BEEN SHIFTED WESTWARD DURING THE FIRST 12 TO 24
HOURS...BRINGING EMILY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI AND
THEN EASTERN CUBA. AFTER THAT...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST STILL
ASSUMES THAT THE WESTERN ATLANTIC TROUGH WILL DEEPEN SUFFICIENTLY
TO TURN THE CYCLONE NORTHWESTWARD AND NORTHWARD. HOWEVER..
.IF THE NORTHWARD TURN DOES NOT BEGIN SOON...THE THREAT TO THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES WILL INCREASE.


Looke like she is just weak enough to continue westward while having just enough flare ups to maintain it's structure, which obviously would have implications to track guidance..........this would be a welcome site for the parched SE!

--------------------
Fran, Bertha, Dennis & Floyd (Tag Team)


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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Emily Moves Slowly Westward Future Unclear MikeCAdministrator Wed Aug 03 2011 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath OrlandoDan   Thu Aug 04 2011 05:57 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath OrlandoDan   Thu Aug 04 2011 04:57 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath OrlandoDan   Thu Aug 04 2011 04:53 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath OrlandoDan   Thu Aug 04 2011 03:49 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath Bloodstar   Thu Aug 04 2011 03:44 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath weathernet   Thu Aug 04 2011 02:13 AM
. * * Re: Current Location weathernet   Thu Aug 04 2011 01:49 AM
. * * Re: Current Location danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 01:47 AM
. * * Re: Current Location IsoFlame   Thu Aug 04 2011 01:26 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath Bloodstar   Thu Aug 04 2011 01:13 AM
. * * Re: Current Location danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 01:06 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath IsoFlame   Thu Aug 04 2011 01:06 AM
. * * Current Location danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:57 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath Bev   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:36 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath scottsvb   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:35 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath LoisCane   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:20 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath Lamar-Plant City   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:12 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:53 PM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:49 PM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath scottsvb   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:37 PM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:21 PM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath hogrunr   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:12 PM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath ralphfl   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath M.A.   Wed Aug 03 2011 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath scottsvb   Wed Aug 03 2011 10:49 PM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath WeatherNut   Wed Aug 03 2011 10:39 PM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 10:39 PM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath berrywr   Wed Aug 03 2011 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath M.A.   Wed Aug 03 2011 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath LoisCane   Wed Aug 03 2011 09:34 PM
. * * Current Model Swath danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola metwannabe   Wed Aug 03 2011 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Lamar-Plant City   Wed Aug 03 2011 07:43 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Hugh   Wed Aug 03 2011 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Lamar-Plant City   Wed Aug 03 2011 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MichaelA   Wed Aug 03 2011 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola OrlandoDan   Wed Aug 03 2011 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola WeatherNut   Wed Aug 03 2011 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Joeyfl   Wed Aug 03 2011 06:19 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola WeatherNut   Wed Aug 03 2011 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola metwannabe   Wed Aug 03 2011 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Lamar-Plant City   Wed Aug 03 2011 05:04 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MichaelA   Wed Aug 03 2011 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola doug   Wed Aug 03 2011 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola JMII   Wed Aug 03 2011 03:14 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola weathernet   Wed Aug 03 2011 02:54 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola WesnWylie   Wed Aug 03 2011 02:51 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola weathernet   Wed Aug 03 2011 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola stormtiger   Wed Aug 03 2011 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola WeatherNut   Wed Aug 03 2011 01:43 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola BayCoGator   Wed Aug 03 2011 12:53 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Joeyfl   Wed Aug 03 2011 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola scottsvb   Wed Aug 03 2011 12:06 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:56 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola scottsvb   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:07 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola weathernet   Wed Aug 03 2011 10:38 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola JMII   Wed Aug 03 2011 10:24 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola adam s   Wed Aug 03 2011 09:57 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Joeyfl   Wed Aug 03 2011 09:48 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Joeyfl   Wed Aug 03 2011 08:53 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 08:19 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Cape Weather   Wed Aug 03 2011 08:04 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 07:19 AM

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