A significant MJO pulse is anticipated by many models' runs to be crossing the Atlantic in August, which could readily flip the basin into a very active mode as soon as later in July, or early next month. The precise timing, location and outline of this anticipated region of enhanced convection remains unclear, but there are some hints that it could favor development in the Tropical Atlantic, Caribbean and/or Gulf of Mexico, in that order, and starting as early as late July.
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Re: 2017: 'Active Era' + Busy Season?
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