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Helene after-Impacts still being felt in some areas. Area to watch for the Gulf Coast in the west Caribbean in a week to week and a half or so, with a 40% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 2 (Helene) , Major: 2 (Helene) Florida - Any: 2 (Helene) Major: 2 (Helene)
43.8N 34.7W
Wind: 70MPH
Pres: 973mb
Moving:
Ne at 12 mph
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22.2N 49.2W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1006mb
Moving:
Nw at 6 mph
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News Talkback >> 2003 Storm Forum

HanKFranK
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Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: TD 9 Lost? - Well, Not Yet
      Sat Aug 23 2003 12:09 AM

well, i just posted on something like this over on the main board.. not really the same conclusion, but ed may have found the piece of the puzzle i was missing. honestly from watching the low cloud motions away from the storm i don't see how there can be any kind of surface low.. but the only way i could tell for sure is if the convection totally goes out.. short of that it's always possible that there's a really awkward center down there.
based on how well the convection is going.. at least some of the dynamics are still there.. so t.d. 9 really can't be called out until they go away. if they did.. it would be disappointing in a way since it would bust my (and everybody else's) ideas, but on the same token it would be for the better.. if this develops it has florida written all over it.
HF 0409z23august

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* TD 9 Lost? - Well, Not Yet Ed DunhamAdministrator Sat Aug 23 2003 12:09 AM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lost? - Well, Not Yet HanKFranK   Sat Aug 23 2003 12:09 AM

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