HWOSJU) issued by the National Weather Service San Juan forecast office for details. SHORT TERM...Today through Thursday... Relatively fair weather conditions are anticipated through the short term period. Hazy skies due to Saharan dust particles will continue to linger over the area during the morning hours. Satellite imagery and aerosols dispersion models show less saharan dust cloud coverage over the forecast area by this afternoon. Thus, visibilities are expected to improve under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies for the rest of the short term period. At the upper levels, the TUTT low will move away from the area today into tomorrow, bringing less favorable conditions aloft for shower enhancement. The strong inversion cap at mid levels is the most predominant feature in the forecast. This feature, together with below normal PWAT values will result in limited shower activity, if any, across the forecast area. Warm daytime and night time temperatures will persist during the next days and heat indices above 100 degrees are also expected mainly for parts of the coastal and urban sectors of the islands. Winds will be generally from the east between 15 to 20 knots with higher gust and sea breeze variations. LONG TERM...Friday through Tuesday... No significant changes in the long-term forecast period with today`s update, with the most recent model guidance suggesting a generally stable and dry weather pattern dominating the forecast area. A slight increase in moisture can be expected by Friday due to the passage of a weak tropical wave, with PWAT briefly reaching above-normal values around 1.70 inches by Friday afternoon. This increase, along with somewhat favorable conditions aloft generated by a westward-moving Upper Level Tropospheric Trough (TUTT) may generate favorable conditions to support enhanced convective development across the region; following the seasonal diurnal shower pattern. By Saturday and continuing through the rest of forecast period, model guidance do not suggest any other rainfall enhancer, with mid to upper level ridging becoming the dominant feature. That said, mainly fair weather conditions are expected, with below normal PWAT values of 1.50 inches or below supporting limited shower activity. Saharan dust particulate will also be present, gradually filtering the area in the wake of the aforementioned tropical wave and reaching a concentration maxima by Sunday into Monday. Thus, expect hazy conditions and reduced visibilities. Daytime highs are forecast to peak into the lower 90s across lower elevations and urban areas, with heat index that could reach the lower to mid 100s each day. AVIATION...Mainly VFR conditions are expected across all terminals through the 24 hour forecast period. HZ due to Saharan dust is expected through the afternoon, but no impact to VIS is anticipated. Winds will be up to 15KT gusting to 20-25KT from the E with sea breeze variations. Winds will decrease after 24/23Z. MARINE...Small craft operators should continue to exercise caution due to choppy seas up to 6 feet and/or winds up to 20 feet expected across the Caribbean waters and both Anegada and Mona Passages. Elsewhere across the regional waters, tranquil marine conditions with seas up to 5 feet and winds up to 15 mph will continue. A moderate risk of rip currents continues for most beaches except for some of the protected beaches along the south and west coast of Puerto Rico and the northern US Virgin Islands. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SJU 89 81 90 79 / 20 10 10 10 STT 90 81 90 81 / 10 10 10 10 && .SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PR...None. VI...None. AM...None. && $$ $$