NPWSJU) is in effect. Similar condtions are expected on Friday and Saturday, as pockets of moisture will bring passing showers across the windward areas of the islands during the night, followed by diurnally induced afternoon showers and thunderstorms over the interior and western PR. Heat advisory conditions will likely continue each day. && .LONG TERM...Sunday through Thursday... The inherited forecast remains on track. Most recent guidance suggests precipitable water values ranging from 2.00 to 2.25 inches from Sunday onwards as a low-to-mid-level ridge northeast of the region promotes moderate east to southeast winds, allowing tropical moisture to increase across Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Additionally, a tropical wave is forecast to move across the local area from Tuesday into Wednesday. Therefore, expect an additional increase in shower and thunderstorm activity across the islands on both days. Some of the potential hazards of this weather event are urban and small-stream flooding, as well as localized flash flooding, which can be expected too. Model guidance continues to show sufficient moisture across all levels of the atmosphere through the long-term period, particularly by mid-week, due to the passage of the tropical wave being monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). NHC still classifies this tropical wave across the central tropical Atlantic with a low probability of tropical cyclone formation in the next seven days. While its too early to determine any potential impact on our forecast area, its encouraged to stay informed, especially as we enter the peak of hurricane season. On Thursday, expect to see a gradual change in weather conditions as a mass of dry air will filter across the islands from the east, reducing the precipitable water values to the 50th (near normal )and 25th percentile (below normal). However, diurnally induced afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop over the interior and western sections of PR while passing trade wind showers with lighter rainfall amounts are expected across the USVI. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Tropical wave crossing the CWA early this morning may cause tempo MVFR conds at TJSJ/TJPS through at least 29/10z. Thereafter, mainly VFR conditions are expected to prevail across all terminals through the fcst period. Diurnally induced afternoon SHRA/TSRA over central and western PR should cause mostly VCTS at TJPS/TJBQ btw 27/18z-22z. East winds expected at 12-16 kt with locally higher gusts and sea breeze variations aft 29/14z. && .MARINE... Surface high pressure over the Atlantic and a weak surface trough will promote moderate east winds through most of the workweek. During the day, expect showers to linger across the area as the tropical wave exits the region completely. However, by the afternoon into evening hours, we anticipate a dry airmass to move across the islands reducing the chance of significant rainfall development. The passage of the next tropical wave could deteriorate marine conditions by midweek. && .BEACH FORECAST... There is a moderate risk of rip current for the north and northwestern beaches of Puerto Rico, as well as Culebra, and Saint Croix. && .SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PR...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 5 PM AST this afternoon for PRZ001-003-005-007-008-010-011. VI...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 5 PM AST this afternoon for VIZ001-002. AM...None. && $$ $$