HLSSJU PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-041100- BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 240 AM AST WED AUG 4 2004 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO HEADING FOR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... ...WATCHES... AS OF 200 AM AST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS OR LESS. ...AREA AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS PUERTO RICO SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON THE LATEST TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI. FUTURE FORECASTS AND CONDITIONS MAY CHANGE CONSIDERABLY AS THIS WEATHER SCENARIO EVOLVES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 200 AM AST...THE POORLY ORGANIZED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER TWO WAS ESTIMATED TO BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 59.7 WEST...OR ABOUT...45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF BARBADOS...OR ABOUT 435 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST CROIX OR ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS OR ABOUT 530 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN. THE DEPRESSION WAS MOVING WEST NEAR 23 MPH...WITH THIS GENERAL MOTION EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...BECOMING MORE WEST NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...POSSIBLY REACHING TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN SQUALLS AND GUSTS. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...THE SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF ST CROIX AND ALL THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. FOR PUERTO RICO...TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS COULD BEGIN TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE ISLAND BY MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STROM FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND BY THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN DIMINISH OVER WESTERN PUERTO RICO BY THURSDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...KEEP IN MIND THAT WIND TIMING AND STRENGTH COULD CHANGE WITH FUTURE FORECASTS. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SURF AND TIDES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AND THROUGH THE ANEGADA PASSAGE AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WHERE SEAS MAY LIKELY REACH 8 TO 10 FEET AS THE TROPICAL SYSTEM PASSES. SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR BEFORE NOON ON WEDNESDAY AND REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING....WHILE SMALL CRAFT IN PUERTO RICO SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. STORM TIDES OF ONE FOOT OR LESS MAY OCCUR ALONG THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS. ...RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL... THE OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHWEST FRINGES OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER TWO SHOULD BEGIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND SPREAD ACROSS PUERTO RICO LATER WEDNESDAY EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY TO BEGIN AS THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSES SOUTH OF ST CROIX WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND AS THE CENTER APPROACHES THE SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF THURSDAY...WITH PERIODS OF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL POSSIBLY LINGERING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY MORNING. RAINFALL TOTALS OF FIVE TO TEN INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINOUS INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. RAPID RIVER RISES COULD OCCUR WITH SOME RIVERS EXCEEDING BANKFULL DURING THURSDAY. THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM TODAY BY YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN...PUERTO RICO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER TWO CAN BE FOUND IN THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES. ...OR VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT (ALL LOWERCASE LETTERS). HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU      WWCA31 TJSJ 040640 HLSSJU PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-041100- BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 240 AM AST WED AUG 4 2004 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO HEADING FOR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... ...WATCHES... AS OF 200 AM AST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS OR LESS. ...AREA AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS PUERTO RICO SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON THE LATEST TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI. FUTURE FORECASTS AND CONDITIONS MAY CHANGE CONSIDERABLY AS THIS WEATHER SCENARIO EVOLVES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 200 AM AST...THE POORLY ORGANIZED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER TWO WAS ESTIMATED TO BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 59.7 WEST...OR ABOUT...45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF BARBADOS...OR ABOUT 435 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST CROIX OR ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS OR ABOUT 530 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN. THE DEPRESSION WAS MOVING WEST NEAR 23 MPH...WITH THIS GENERAL MOTION EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...BECOMING MORE WEST NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...POSSIBLY REACHING TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN SQUALLS AND GUSTS. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...THE SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF ST CROIX AND ALL THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. FOR PUERTO RICO...TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS COULD BEGIN TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE ISLAND BY MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STROM FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND BY THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN DIMINISH OVER WESTERN PUERTO RICO BY THURSDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...KEEP IN MIND THAT WIND TIMING AND STRENGTH COULD CHANGE WITH FUTURE FORECASTS. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SURF AND TIDES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AND THROUGH THE ANEGADA PASSAGE AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WHERE SEAS MAY LIKELY REACH 8 TO 10 FEET AS THE TROPICAL SYSTEM PASSES. SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR BEFORE NOON ON WEDNESDAY AND REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING....WHILE SMALL CRAFT IN PUERTO RICO SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. STORM TIDES OF ONE FOOT OR LESS MAY OCCUR ALONG THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS. ...RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL... THE OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHWEST FRINGES OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER TWO SHOULD BEGIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND SPREAD ACROSS PUERTO RICO LATER WEDNESDAY EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY TO BEGIN AS THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSES SOUTH OF ST CROIX WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND AS THE CENTER APPROACHES THE SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF THURSDAY...WITH PERIODS OF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL POSSIBLY LINGERING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY MORNING. RAINFALL TOTALS OF FIVE TO TEN INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINOUS INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. RAPID RIVER RISES COULD OCCUR WITH SOME RIVERS EXCEEDING BANKFULL DURING THURSDAY. THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM TODAY BY YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN...PUERTO RICO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER TWO CAN BE FOUND IN THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES. ...OR VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT (ALL LOWERCASE LETTERS). HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU      WTNT32 KNHC 040540 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM AST WED AUG 04 2004 ...POORLY-DEFINED TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES...HEAVY SQUALLS WILL AFFECT THE ISLANDS TODAY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ST LUCIA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE ...DOMINICA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES ON WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.7 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES... 70 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BARBADOS. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...EAST OF ST. LUCIA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION ARE NOW OCCURRING OVER BARBADOS...AND THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD OVER OTHER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES LATER THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THE DEPRESSION COULD REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES TODAY. LOCALLY STRONGER WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 1000 FEET. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS MORNING. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.82 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...13.7 N... 59.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER BEVEN $$