HLSSJU PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-041330- BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 515 AM AST WED AUG 4 2004 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO CROSSING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... ...WATCHES... AS OF 500 AM AST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS OR LESS. ...AREA AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS PUERTO RICO SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON THE LATEST TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI. FUTURE FORECASTS AND CONDITIONS MAY CHANGE CONSIDERABLY AS THIS WEATHER SCENARIO EVOLVES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 AM AST...THE POORLY ORGANIZED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER TWO WAS ESTIMATED TO BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 60.7 WEST...JUST EAST OF ST LUCIA OR ABOUT 370 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST CROIX OR ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS OR ABOUT 480 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN. THE DEPRESSION WAS MOVING WEST NEAR 25 MPH...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...POSSIBLY REACHING TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN SQUALLS AND GUSTS. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...THE SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF ST CROIX AND ALL THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND ALSO SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO. HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS COULD BEGIN TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE ISLAND AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS POSSIBLY AFFECTING ONLY THE PUERTO RICO'S SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS AND THE MONA PASSAGE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS SHOULD THEN DIMINISH OVER THE MONA PASSAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...KEEP IN MIND THAT WIND TIMING AND STRENGTH COULD CHANGE WITH FUTURE FORECASTS. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SURF AND TIDES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AND THROUGH THE ANEGADA PASSAGE AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WHERE SEAS MAY LIKELY REACH 8 TO 10 FEET AS THE TROPICAL SYSTEM PASSES SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA. SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR BEFORE NOON ON WEDNESDAY AND REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING....WHILE SMALL CRAFT IN PUERTO RICO SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. STORM TIDES OF ONE FOOT OR LESS MAY OCCUR ALONG THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS. ...RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL... THE OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHWEST FRINGES OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER TWO SHOULD BEGIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND SPREAD ACROSS PUERTO RICO LATER WEDNESDAY EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY TO BEGIN AS THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSES SOUTH OF ST CROIX WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND AS THE CENTER APPROACHES THE SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF THURSDAY...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLY LINGERING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY MORNING. RAINFALL TOTALS OF FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINOUS INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. RAPID RIVER RISES COULD OCCUR WITH SOME RIVERS EXCEEDING BANKFULL DURING THURSDAY. THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 9 AM THIS MORNING BY YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN...PUERTO RICO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER TWO CAN BE FOUND IN THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES. ...OR VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT (ALL LOWERCASE LETTERS). HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU RM      WTNT31 KNHC 040837 TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT WED AUG 04 2004 ...ALEX CONTINUES MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST... AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.1 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COASTAL AREA SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...37.1 N... 71.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$