HLSOKX CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-041815- POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY AL092016 607 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016 THIS PRODUCT COVERS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT **HERMINE EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN NORTHWARD LATER TODAY** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - NONE * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...HUDSON...EASTERN ESSEX...EASTERN UNION...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHERN QUEENS...NORTHERN NASSAU...SOUTHERN QUEENS AND SOUTHERN NASSAU * STORM INFORMATION: - ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NEW YORK CITY NY OR ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MONTAUK POINT NY - 36.8N 70.8W - STORM INTENSITY 65 MPH - MOVEMENT EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 12 MPH SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH (19 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A SLOW NORTHWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF HERMINE WILL MEANDER SLOWLY OFFSHORE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LONG ISLAND...NEW YORK CITY...AND SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...HUDSON...EASTERN ESSEX AND UNION COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...AND COASTAL CONNECTICUT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE A LITTLE FARTHER INLAND. WIDESPREAD MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT INTO THE EARLY WEEK. LOCALLY MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE AND EASTERN BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. DANGEROUSLY ROUGH SURF...AND A LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENT RISK IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY WEEK. RAINFALL OF ONE HALF TO ONE AND ONE QUARTER INCH IS PROBABLE ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * SURGE: PREPARE FOR LIFE THREATENING SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS LOW LYING COASTAL COMMUNITIES ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE AND EASTERN BAYS OF LONG ISLAND...AS WELL AS OCEAN FRONT AND BARRIER ISLAND COMMUNITIES. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THESE AREAS INCLUDE: - AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY WAVES. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST. - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW SPOTS. - FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED. - MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. VERY DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES. * OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS: BATTERING SURF CAPABLE OF CAUSING SIGNIFICANT DUNE EROSION AND OVERWASHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY WEEK. DANGEROUSLY ROUGH SURF...AND A LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENT RISK IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY WEEK. * WIND: PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS LONG ISLAND AND EXTREME COASTAL CONNECTICUT. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE: - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS EXPERIENCING WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE HOMES DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. - SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SEVERAL FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE. - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. * FLOODING RAIN: NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. * TORNADOES: NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM TROPICAL SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION. IF EVACUATING, LEAVE AS SOON AS PRACTICAL WITH A DESTINATION IN MIND. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE WELL AHEAD OF TIME. BE SURE THAT YOU TAKE ALL ESSENTIAL MATERIALS FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT. LET OTHERS KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING AND WHEN YOU INTEND TO ARRIVE. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN. OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. IF YOU ARE RELOCATING TO SAFE SHELTER, LEAVE AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. IF HEADING TO A COMMUNITY SHELTER, BECOME FAMILIAR WITH THE SHELTER RULES BEFORE ARRIVAL, ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE SPECIAL NEEDS OR OWN A PET. TAKE ESSENTIAL ITEMS WITH YOU FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT. CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST BEFORE DEPARTING. CHECK IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS, AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO CHECK-IN AGAIN. KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE. IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER. BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS. IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES. BE SURE YOU ALSO KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY IN WHICH IT RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV - FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG - FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG NEXT UPDATE ----------- THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK NY AROUND 12 PM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ $$