HLSOKX CTZ007>012-NYZ071-078>081-177-179-181800- Hurricane Jose Local Statement Advisory Number 52 National Weather Service New York NY AL122017 523 AM EDT Mon Sep 18 2017 This product covers Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut **Tropical Storm Watches Remain in Effect for Long Island, Southern Westchester, and Coastal and Southeast Connecticut** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Northeastern Suffolk, Northern Middlesex, Northern Nassau, Northern New London, Northwestern Suffolk, Southeastern Suffolk, Southern Fairfield, Southern Middlesex, Southern Nassau, Southern New Haven, Southern New London, Southern Westchester, and Southwestern Suffolk * STORM INFORMATION: - About 550 miles south-southeast of New York City NY or about 560 miles south of Montauk Point NY - 33.0N 71.4W - Storm Intensity 85 mph - Movement North or 360 degrees at 9 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ Hurricane Jose will track northward through the western Atlantic waters through mid week, passing to the southeast of the area late Tuesday night into Wednesday. The hurricane will be close enough to to bring potential impacts of tropical storm force winds, coastal flooding, and heavy rainfall. The best chance for tropical storm force winds and heavy rain will be across eastern Long Island and southeast Connecticut. Minor to moderate coastal flooding is also expected, with widespread water levels of 1 to 2 feet and locally up to 3 feet above ground level possible. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * WIND: Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut. Potential impacts include: - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. * SURGE: Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across tidal portions of southeast New York, northeast New Jersey, and southern Connecticut. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong and frequent rip currents. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. * FLOODING RAIN: Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible limited impacts across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut. Potential impacts include: - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations. - Rivers and streams may quickly rise with swifter currents. Small streams, creeks and canals may become swollen and could overflow in spots. - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge closures. * OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS: Jose will likely bring large waves, possibly close to 20 feet on the coastal ocean waters south of Long Island, 9 to 12 feet on The Race and Western Block Island Sound, and up to 7 feet on central Long Island Sound. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- Now is the time to check your emergency plan and take necessary actions to secure your home or business. Deliberate efforts should be underway to protect life and property. Ensure that your Emergency Supplies Kit is stocked and ready. When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the exact forecast track as there are inherent forecast uncertainties which must be taken into account. If you live in a place that is particularly vulnerable to high wind, such as a mobile home or on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter. Take enough supplies for you and your family for several days. If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as near the ocean, in a low lying or poor drainage area, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any orders that are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of others. When securing your property, outside preparations should be conducted as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of strong gusty winds and heavy rain can cause certain preparedness activities to become unsafe. Be sure to let friends and other family members know of your intentions and whereabouts for surviving the storm. For emergency purposes, have someone located away from the threatened area serve as your point of contact. Share vital contact information with others. Keep cell phones handy and well charged. Be a Good Samaritan and check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are unable to make personal preparations. Visitors to the area should become familiar with nearby surroundings. If you are a visitor, know the name of the county in which you are located and where it is relative to current watches and warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially pertaining to area visitors. Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the forecast. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in New York NY around noon EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant. $$ $$