AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
631 AM CDT SAT JUL 9 2011

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED TO ISOLATED POCKETS OF EARLY MORNING -SHRA TO PASS ON
THROUGH FROM EAST TO WEST. AS SURFACE WARMS INTO THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 80S...A WESTERN GULF UPPER LOW (WITH A SOUTHERN TEXAS
HEADING) WILL PULL IN ENOUGH EARLY MOISTURE TO AID IN PRODUCING
EARLY VCSH OVER MAJORITY OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HUBS. NOT TOO
CONFIDENT OF A VERY-DEFINED SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY AS THIS LOW MAY
DISRUPT THE SMALLER SCALE. EITHER WAY...HIGHER EASTERN MOISTURE
...IN-LINE WITH ANOTHER HOT JULY AFTERNOON...SHOULD BE THE SPARK
NEEDED FOR THE FORMATION OF WIDESPREAD CB`S. 31

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 407 AM CDT SAT JUL 9 2011/

DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO CONTINUES TO MOVE
WESTWARD THIS MORNING AND WILL MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE SOUTH TEXAS
COAST LATER TODAY. AS THIS FEATURE PASSES TO OUR SOUTH WE WILL
SEE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEAST
TEXAS...WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE EXPECTED ACROSS AREAS SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 10.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS ALLOWING SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES TO REMAIN IN THE FORECAST WITH
PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB BACK INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 90S BY MID WEEK AS THE RIDGE MOVES BACK OVER THE
STATE. 38

MARINE...
A PASSING UPPER LEVEL LOW HEADING TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN TEXAS
COASTLINE WILL HAVE LITTLE...TO NO...IMPACT OVER OUR LOCAL WATERS
THROUGH TODAY...THIS LOW MAY PRODUCE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND/OR
AN ISOLATED STORM. GENERALLY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE AND
MAINTAIN THIS PATTERN OF LOWERED WINDS AND SEA THROUGH NEXT WEEK. 31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      98  74  97  75  97 /  20  20  20  20  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              95  75  95  76  96 /  30  20  20  20  20
GALVESTON (GLS)            90  82  92  82  91 /  30  20  20  20  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$