FFAMOB FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY MAY OCCUR CLOSE TO 6 PM AS WINDS BECOME SOUTHERLY ALONG ABOUT THAT TIME...THIS WOULD ALSO MEAN THE LOW TEMPERATURE TONIGHT WOULD OCCUR EARLY THIS EVENING. /11 .LONG TERM [WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY]...LARGE SYNOPTIC SCALE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY AS IT LIFTS NORTHEAST UP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES. FORECASTERS EXPECT TO CONTINUE DEALING WITH A HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT IN THE MORNING...WITH ITS AXIS PROGRESSING EASTWARD. DUE TO CLOUDS AND ABUNDANT RAINS...THERE IS A GENERAL LACK OF FAVORABLE INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...WITH THE STRENGTH AND STRONG VEERING PROFILE OF THE LOW LEVEL WIND PROFILE...THERE EXISTS THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT EXHIBIT ROTATION AND THE POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED TORNADOES. FORECASTERS EXPECT BETTER POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED TORNADOES TO FORM OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...THAT WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND MAKE POSSIBLE IMPACTS OVER THE GULF COAST...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN FL PANHANDLE AND PORTIONS OF THE INTERIOR OF SOUTHWEST AL SOUTHEAST IF I-65 WEDNESDAY MORNING. LATEST NATIONAL CENTERS FAVOR THE ECMWF/CANADIAN/GEFS MEAN BLEND FOR THE TRACK OF THE LOW WHICH WILL LIFT OFF TO THE NORTHEAST RATHER QUICKLY DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. THUS...AXIS OF HEAVY RAINFALL/TSTMS LOOKS TO BE MOVING WELL INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES BY THE EVENING. SOME WRAPAROUND CLOUDS AND LIGHT RAIN MAY IMPACT OUR FAR NORTHERN ZONES WEDNESDAY EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE AXIS MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN STATES LATE IN THE WEEK AND WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A DRIER PATTERN AND A COOL DOWN IN TEMPERATURES. THERE IS SOME INTEREST BY SATURDAY MORNING OVER THE FAR NORTHERN ZONES AS TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO LOWER TO AROUND THE FREEZING MARK THERE. THIS OCCURS COINCIDENT WITH THE LATEST ECMWF SHOWING THE PASSAGE OF A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE...A DEEP MOISTURE MAXIMUM AND 1000-500MB THICKNESSES <540. THERE MAY BE BRIEF WINDOW FOR OCCURRENCE OF A BRIEF FROZEN PRECIPITATION EVENT IN OUR FAR NORTHERN ZONES. WOULD LIKE TO SEE SOME MORE CONTINUITY ON THIS BEFORE GETTING TOO GUNG HO IN THE FORECAST. SOMETHING WE WILL KEEP OUR EYES ON. A CHILLY WEEKEND ON TAP...WITH HIGHS AND LOWS MOVING TO WELL BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. LOW TEMPERATURES DIPPING TO AROUND FREEZING MOST AREAS BY SUNDAY AM...EXCEPT FOR IMMEDIATE COAST. /10 && .AVIATION...FOR 01/12Z...MOSTLY HIGH LEVEL AND SOME MID CLOUDS TO START OUT THE DAY WITH CEILING LOWERING BY MID AFTERNOON FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT RAIN BEFORE SUNSET...MORE SO OVER THE SOUTHWEST. WINDS WILL VEER FROM NORTHEAST TO EAST TO SOUTHEAST...PICKING UP SPEED AS THE DAY GOES ON. SOME MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS NEAR THE COAST WILL BECOME MOSTLY IFR CONDITIONS DUE TO CEILINGS AND LOW VISIBILITY IN PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS AND POSSIBLY SOME SEVERE STORMS OVERNIGHT. WEDNESDAY SHOULD START OUT CLOUDY AND RAINY WITH IFR CONDITIONS IMPROVING BY LATE AFTERNOON WITH THE EASTERN SECTIONS BEING THE LATEST TO IMPROVE. /11 && .MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS ALREADY IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS ACROSS THE MARINE AREA AND A GALE WARNING FOR LATE AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME EAST THEN SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES. WILL LIKELY HAVE GUSTS TO ABOVE GALE FORCE IF NOT SUSTAINED AT GALE FORCE FOR A FEW HOURS TONIGHT. WINDS COME UP OVER THE BAYS A BIT LATER...HENCE THE GALE WARNING TAKES EFFECT A BIT LATER...SEE BHMMWWMOB AND COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR DETAILS. WAVES WILL INCREASE AS THE WINDS INCREASE AND THE OFFSHORE WAVE HEIGHTS WILL BUILD TO 12 TO 17 FEET TONIGHT...GRADUALLY SUBSIDING AS THE WINDS BECOME WESTERLY AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH...BUT REMAINING ABOVE 7 FEET INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF LATER THIS WEEK AND BRING AN INCREASING NORTHERLY WIND TO THE OFFSHORE WATERS. /11 && .FIRE WEATHER...MOVING INTO A WET PERIOD IN THE NEAR TERM. NO FIRE WEATHER HEADLINES. /10 .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MOBILE 55 53 67 42 / 60 100 70 10 PENSACOLA 57 57 69 47 / 60 100 80 10 DESTIN 60 60 70 49 / 60 100 100 10 EVERGREEN 55 54 67 42 / 50 100 80 10 WAYNESBORO 51 49 60 40 / 50 100 60 20 CAMDEN 54 52 63 42 / 50 100 80 10 CRESTVIEW 57 57 71 44 / 60 100 100 10 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO 9 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...AND LOWER MOBILE. FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO NOON WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BUTLER...CONECUH...COVINGTON...CRENSHAW... ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...AND UPPER MOBILE. FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO NOON WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA... COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA... AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO 9 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA... AND COASTAL SANTA ROSA. MS...NONE. GM...GALE WARNING FROM 9 PM TUESDAY TO NOON WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: AND MOBILE BAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: AND MOBILE BAY. GALE WARNING FROM 3 PM TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM... COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM... AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM. && $$