HWOCHS/ AND THE PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT /CAEPNSCHS/. LATER SHIFTS CAN RE-ASSESS THE SITUATION TO DETERMINE WHETHER AN ADVISORY IS NECESSARY. EVEN SO...STRONG WINDS ON THE ELEVATED AREA BRIDGES WILL BE HAZARDOUS. LAKE WINDS...THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...GEOSTROPHIC WINDS AT 1000 MB ARE AS HIGH AS 40 KT WEDNESDAY MORNING. DURING THIS TIME WE ARE LOOKING AT ABOUT A 25 DEGREE TEMP SPREAD BETWEEN THE COLD AIR MOVING ACROSS THE RELATIVELY WARMER LAKE WATERS. THIS WOULD RESULT IN CLOSE TO 35 KT WINDS AT THE LAKES SURFACE. LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO CONSIDER AN UPGRADE TO A HIGH WIND WARNING ON LAKE MOULTRIE FOR THIS POSSIBILITY. GIVEN LOW CONFIDENCE OF SUCH WIND SPEEDS AND AFTER COORDINATION WITH WFO CAE...WE WILL REFRAIN FROM ISSUING A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE LAKE. && .LONG TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... EVEN COLDER TEMPS ARE EXPECTED WED NIGHT AS THE ARCTIC HIGH MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID/UPPER TEENS INLAND TO MID/UPPER 20S ALONG THE COAST. WE ARE FORECASTING TEMPS CLOSE TO RECORD VALUES AT CHARLESTON...DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON AND SAVANNAH. SEE CLIMATE SECTION OF THIS PRODUCT FOR DETAILS. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER...WIND CHILLS WILL AGAIN BE IN THE 10-15 DEG RANGE AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST. THE WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPS CONTINUE THU THROUGH FRI NIGHT BEFORE THINGS BEGIN TO MODERATE AS THE ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE AREA SLIDES OFF THE VA/NC COAST. HIGHS THU WILL AGAIN BE STUCK IN THE 40S. A COASTAL TROUGH WILL THEN LIKELY DEVELOP KEEPING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST MAINLY FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OVER THE WEEKEND. TEMPS WILL BE BACK TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS MEAN RIDGING TALKS HOLD. && .AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... VFR CONDS THROUGHOUT THE 02/06Z TAFS. LLWS CONTINUES THIS MRNG THROUGH DAYBREAK...THEN EFFICIENT MIXING WILL FORCE SFC WINDS TO INCRS TO NEAR 15G25KT AT BOTH SITES. MODEST MOISTURE IN THE MIDLVLS MAY MAKE FOR SOME STRATOCU DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTN...BUT SKIES CLEAR OUT AGAIN THIS EVE. WINDS LOOKS TO DECOUPLE JUST ENOUGH ONCE AGAIN THIS EVE AND TNGT TO ALLOW LLWS TO AGAIN BECOME A PROBLEM. EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY. && .MARINE... ALL FACTORS POINT TOWARD A SIGNIFICANT GALE WIND EVENT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT ON THE COASTAL WATERS. SIGNIFICANT AND STEADY PRES RISES...IMPRESSIVE COLD AIR ADVECTION BLOWING ACROSS THE WARMER WATERS...AND STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS. WILL MAINTAIN THE GALE WARNINGS FOR ALL ATLC WATERS. IN ADDITION TO THE GALE WARNING FOR THE ATLC WATERS...A GALE WARNING HAS BEEN RAISED AS OF THIS EVENING FOR CHARLESTON HARBOR. THE DECISION WAS MADE TO ISSUE THE GALE WARNING BASED ON THE 10 PM UPSTREAM OBSERVATION OVER LAKE MOUTLRIE WHICH SHOW SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 KT WITH GUSTS OF 33 KT. WINDS SHOULD BE SIMILAR OVER THE HARBOR DUE TO WATER TEMPERATURES IN BOTH AREAS IN THE MID 50S. WINDS SHOULD INCREASE SLIGHTLY LATE TONIGHT AS STRONGER COLD AIR ADVECTION DEVELOPS ACROSS THE AREA. LOCAL TOOLS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT THE WNA GUIDANCE IS UNDERDONE ON SEAS...ESP ACROSS THE OUTER GA WATERS THE NEXT SEVERAL PERIODS. THUS WE CAN EXPECT SEAS UP TO 6 OR 7 FT WITHIN 20 NM OF THE COAST...BUT AS HIGH AS 11 OR 12 FT NEAR 60 NM OFFSHORE. EVEN CHARLESTON HARBOR WILL HAVE WAVES AROUND 3 FEET. CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW IN IMPROVING UNTIL LATER THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WHEN THE COLD AIR ADVECTION FINALLY SHUTS OFF. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL VEER FROM N TO NE LATE THIS WEEK...AND THERE STILL LOOKS TO BE SOME PINCHING OF THE PRES GRADIENT AS HIGH PRES BUILDS TO THE N. THEREFORE...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED...AND EVEN AFTER GALES COME TO AN END...SCA/S WILL MOST CERTAINLY BE REQUIRED FOR AT LEAST PARTS OF THE MARINE COMMUNITY THROUGH FRIDAY. GREATER IMPROVEMENT LOOKS TO DEVELOP THIS WEEKEND...AS PRES GRADIENT FINALLY RELAXES AS HIGH SHIFTS E INTO THE ATLC AND A COASTAL TROUGH TRIES TO FORM OVER OR NEAR THE LOCAL WATERS. TIDES...RECENT TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE NOW NEAR OR EVEN SLIGHTLY BELOW PREDICTED LEVELS. GIVEN STRENGTHENING W AND NW WINDS WE ARE SOMEWHAT CONCERNED ABOUT BLOW OUT TIDES WITH SEVERAL UPCOMING LOW TIDE CYCLES. WE WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR AND WILL ADD MENTION IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK /CAEHWOCHS/. && .FIRE WEATHER... MUCH LOWER RH VALUES WILL OCCUR THROUGH FRI AS A MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIRMASS MOVES INTO THE REGION...WITH THE CAUSE FOR MOST CONCERN WED AFTN WHEN WINDS WILL ALSO BE GUSTY. MOIST FUELS FROM RECENT RAINS LOOK TO MITIGATE THE NEED FOR A RED FLAG WARNING PER EARLIER DISCUSSIONS WITH FIRE OFFICIALS AND THUS WILL JUST MAINTAIN A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FOR OUR SC ZONES. FOR OUR GA ZONES...WILL INCLUDE MENTION IN THE HAZARDOUS WX OUTLOOK /HWO/. WILL ALSO HIGHLIGHT THE CONDITIONS IN THE FIRE WEATHER FORECAST /FWF/. WINDS ON THU LOOK TO BE BELOW CRITICAL VALUES BUT IF WINDS ARE A BIT STRONGER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...A RED FLAG WARNING MAY BE NEEDED AS 10 HOUR FUELS ARE DRYING QUICKLY TODAY AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO ON WED. && .CLIMATE... BELOW ARE SOME RECORDS THAT MAY BE IN JEOPARDY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. RECORD LOW MAX TEMPS ON JAN 2... CHARLESTON...40 SET IN 2002 DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON...41 SET IN 1977 SAVANNAH...40 SET IN 1958 RECORD LOW TEMPS ON JAN 3... CHARLESTON...19 SET IN 1940 DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON...24 SET IN 1979 SAVANNAH...18 SET IN 2001 RECORD LOW TEMPS ON JAN 4... CHARLESTON...19 SET IN 1940 DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON...28 SET IN 1981 && .CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GA...NONE. SC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EST THURSDAY FOR SCZ045. MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR AMZ350-352-354. GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR AMZ374. GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AMZ330. && $$