SEE LSRAKQ FOR DETAILS.

FYI...RIC TIED ANTHR RCRD HIGH TMP TDY OF 101. SEE RER RIC FOR
DETAILS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
FRIDAY...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL ALLOW FOR DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT
FOR MAYBE A STRAY SEABREEZE INDUCED SHWR/TSTM OVER NE NC. NOT TOO
CONFIDENT ABOUT THAT POSSIBILITY...SO HAVE ONLY GHOSTS POPS
(<15%). HIGH TEMPS WILL DROP BACK SLIGHTLY INTO THE 80S TO NR 90
ON FRIDAY AS MODEL THICKNESSES LOWER IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD
FRONT.

SATURDAY...
HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EASTWARD OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST BY LATE IN THE DAY. WITH THE HIGH TO OUR EAST...THE
LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL TURN MORE TO THE SOUTH...EXCEPT REMAINING E OR
SE AT THE COAST. THIS WILL USHER SOME MOISTURE/CLOUDS UP FROM THE
CAROLINAS...PARTICULARLY INTO OUR WESTERN ZONES NEAREST THE
MTNS/FOOTHILLS. AT THIS POINT...IT APPEARS ANY TSTMS THAT DEVELOP
WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO THE MTNS/FOOTHILLS AND THUS HAVE ONLY ISOLATED
POPS IN THE AFTERNOON ACROSS OUR EXTREME WESTERN COUNTIES. WHAT WE WILL
SEE IS AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER THROUGH THE DAY. HIGHS WILL BE
IN THE UPPER 80S/LOW 90S.

SUNDAY...
MODELS SHOW A SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSING THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION ON SUNDAY...WITH A FAIRLY DECENT MOISTURE TAP FROM THE
SOUTH. MODELS ARE PICKING UP ON A GOOD POSSIBILITY OF SHRS/TSTMS
THAT DAY...BUT DO NOT WON`T TO GO OVERBOARD ATTM. HAVE CONTINUED
WITH SOLID CHC POPS (30-40%) ALL AREAS ON SUNDAY. TEMPS WERE ALSO HELD
BELOW 90 DEGREES ALL AREAS DUE TO THE EXCESSIVE CLOUD COVER AND
GOOD CHANCE OF PRECIP.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LATEST 12Z RUNS OF THE GFS/ECMWF COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH
THE MID LVL PATTERN...ECMWF STILL SLIGHTLY MORE CONTINUING TO BE
SOMEWHAT MORE AMPLIFIED BUT BOTH MODELS SHOW A TROUGH OF MODERATE
STRENGTH MOVING THROUGH THE NE STATES/MID ATLC SUN NGT/ERLY
MONDAY...AND WELL OFF THE COAST LATE MON/TUE. WILL CONTINUE FAIRLY
HIGH POPS (40%) SUN NGT ALL AREAS WITH FAIRLY DEEP MSTR SEEN IN
THE MODELS TSECTIONS AND COOL AIR ALOFT. SHOULD SEE HIGHER POPS
CONFINED FARTHER E ON MON...AND THEN DRY ALL AREAS BY MON EVENING
AS DRIER AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE N IN RESPONSE TO SFC HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN. HIGH TEMPS MON STAY FAIRLY COOL COMPARED TO
WHAT HAS BEEN EXPERIENCED THUS FAR THIS SUMMER...(MAINLY MID-UPR
80S TO ARND 90).

EXPECT TO SEE A WARMING TREND TUE-WED WITH HIGHS BACK INTO AT
LEAST THE LWR 90S OVER THE INTERIOR AND UPR 80S AT THE COAST ALONG
WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS (SCHC AFTN TSTMS BY WED). NEXT FRONT
LOOKS TO MOVE THRU THU...WILL CARRY 20-30% POPS ALL ZONES AND
HIGHS MAINLY 90-95 AND LOWS 70-75.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SECONDARY WAVE MOVING OVER NORTHERN VA INTO THE ERN SHORE AND MAY
BRING MVFR TO POSSIBLY IFR/LIFR FOR A BRIEF TIME IN SHRA/TSRA
ACTIVITY THROUGH 06Z. RIC/PHF/ORF/ECG SEEM TO BE WORKED OVER FROM
PAST RAINFALL...BUT CULD SEE AN ISOL EVENT (ESP ECG) DVLP/BRUSH BY
TERMINALS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. OVERNIGHT...SOME PATCHY FOG MAY
DEVELOP (ESP AWAY FROM THE COAST) TWRDS DAYBREAK.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FRI DAYTIME AS HIGH PRESSURE TAKES OVER.
ANOTHER SYSTEM COULD IMPACT THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
SCTD TSTMS WILL BRING LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS THIS EVENING...BUT
SYNOPTICALLY THE MAIN ISSUE IN NEAR TERM WILL BE A COLD FRONT
MOVING THROUGH LATER TONIGHT...AND CAA SURGE FRI MRNG. HAVE RAISED
SCA FOR THE BAY/SND AND CSTL WTRS S OF CAPE CHARLES LGT FRI MRNG
(LINGERING THE FLAGS THE LONGEST OVER THE CSTL WATERS DUE TO 5 FT
SEAS). BEYOND THIS...A FAIRLY QUIET PATTERN FRI NGT INTO SAT...AS
SFC HI BLDS OVR THE NE STATES/NEAR MID ATLC. MORE UNCERTAIN FOR
SUN/MON AND MODELS SEEM TO BE NARROWING IN ON A SOLN THAT DEPICTS
SFC HI OFF THE NEW ENGLAND CST...AND AT LEAST A TROF OF LO PRES
MOVNG INTO AND ACRS THE AREA...RESULTING IN E OR SE FLO AROUND 15
KT (KEEPING SEAS 3-4 FT/ A BIT ABOVE WAVEWATCH SUN-MON W/ THE ELY
FLOW).

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ632-
     633.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ630-631.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ656-
     658.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...BKH/JDM
NEAR TERM...MPR
SHORT TERM...JDM
LONG TERM...LKB
AVIATION...CCW/DAP
MARINE...LKB