LSRBOX
AND BOSPNSBOX FOR THE LATEST WIND DAMAGE AND WIND GUST REPORTS
FROM EARLIER TODAY.

SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR AS WEAK ANTICYCLONIC FLOW DEVELOPS.
CLOUDS WILL TAKE LONGEST TO BREAK UP ACROSS THE EAST SLOPES OF THE
BERKSHIRES AS WELL AS THE MONADNOCKS ACROSS SOUTHERN NH AND THE
NORTH CENTRAL MA HILLS DUE TO PERSISTENT UPSLOPE FLOW. DIMINISHING
WINDS WITH PATCHY FROST EXPECTED ACROSS INTERIOR WESTERN MA AND
EXTREME NORTHERN CT. NO FROST ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AS THESE
AREAS HAVE ALREADY EXPERIENCED A FREEZE EARLIER THIS MONTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
SUNDAY...A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
STEEPEN TO AROUND 9C/KM. MOISTURE IS SOMEWHAT LIMITED BUT COULD SEE
A SPRINKLE AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON.
IT WILL BECOME BREEZY AGAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT
APPROACHES.

SUNDAY NIGHT...A DRY AND CHILLY NIGHT EXPECTED WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DRY NW FLOW CONTINUES MONDAY. DIFFERENCES EXIST IN THE MODELS ON
WHETHER OR NOT A WEAK LOW BRINGS A PERIOD OF RAIN TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. 12Z GFS LOOKS TO BE THE
FURTHEST NORTH...TRACKING THE LOW OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TO
SOUTH OF NANTUCKET ON TUESDAY AND BRINGING PRECIP AS FAR NORTH AS
THE NH BORDER. OTHER MODELS...SUCH AS THE 00Z ECMWF AND GGEM AND
12Z NAM...INDICATE THE LOW TRACKS JUST FAR ENOUGH SOUTH THAT THE
MAJORITY OF OUR AREA IS PRECIPITATION FREE. FOR THIS
PACKAGE...PLAN TO KEEP CHANCE POPS IN THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF OUR CWA...BUT KNOCK DOWN POPS TO JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE
NORTHERN ZONES.

LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES CONTINUE TO LOOK MARGINAL FOR BRIEF PERIOD OF
WET SNOW ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN MA EARLY TUE
MORNING...SHOULD PRECIPITATION BEGIN THAT SOON AND GET THAT FAR
NORTH.

A SECOND WEAK LOW MAY TRACK SOUTH /POTENTIALLY FAR SOUTH/ OF OUR
AREA DURING WED. AT THIS THIS TIME APPEARS THAT PROB OF PRECIP IN
OUR ZONES IS CHANCE AT BEST.

A COLD FRONT APPROACHES OUR AREA THURSDAY...EXITING OFFSHORE
THURSDAY NIGHT.  THEN DRY WEATHER RETURNS FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
WHILE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
OVERNIGHT...HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR.

SUNDAY...VFR. LOW PROBABILITY MVFR CEILINGS AROUND 3000 FT BY THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE INTERIOR. A BRIEF SHOWER POSSIBLE AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES. NW WINDS GUSTING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.

SUNDAY NIGHT...VFR WITH NW WINDS GUSTING TO 25 TO 30 KT DURING THE
EARLY EVENING ALONG COASTAL TERMINALS...DIMINISHING.

OUTLOOK...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
SUN NIGHT...VFR. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

MON...HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR. NW WINDS GUSTING TO 25 KT.

TUE...MVFR POSSIBLE S OF MASS PIKE INCLUDING KBDL/KPVD. VFR
ELSEWHERE. MODERATE CONFIDENCE.

WED AND THU...VFR...EXCEPT MVFR POSSIBLE IN SCT SHOWERS. LOW
CONFIDENCE.

&&

.MARINE...
OVERNIGHT...DOWNGRADED GALE WARNINGS TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR
ALL WATERS. THERE MAY STILL BE A FEW GALE FORCE GUSTS THROUGH
11 PM. MAJORITY OF THE WATERS WILL NOT SEE GUSTS THAT HIGH AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WIND CONTINUES TO DIMINISH. HAZARDOUS 5 TO 10
FOOT SEAS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT.

SUNDAY...A SCA WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED. NW WINDS INCREASING IN THE
AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT MAINLY NEAR SHORE. HAZARDOUS 4 TO 6
FOOT SEAS ACROSS THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS

SUNDAY NIGHT...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE NECESSARY ACROSS
MOST OF THE WATERS WITH NW WIND GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 KT. HAZARDOUS 4 TO
6 FOOT SEAS.

OUTLOOK...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
MON...SCA CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FOR GUSTY NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS.

TUE...WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD SUBSIDE. THERE IS A LOW PROB OF SCA
WINDS/SEAS DUE TO A WEAK LOW PRESSURE FORECAST TO TRACK SE OF NEW
ENGLAND.

WED...LOW PROB OF SCA WINDS/SEAS DUE TO A POTENTIAL SECOND WEAK LOW
PRESSURE TRACKING S OF NEW ENGLAND.

THU...CHANCE FOR SCA WINDS/SEAS SOUTHERN WATERS DUE TO INCREASING SW
FLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ230>237-250-
     251-254>256.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...STRAUSS/NMB