SPSCRP
ON UPCOMING EVENT...INCLUDING LATER PERIODS BEYOND THE SHORT TERM.
AGAIN... BELOW GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY.

MARINE (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
TODAY. PRETTY MUCH KEPT THE SCA TIMING THE SAME FOR THE BAYS AND
NEARSHORE...BUT DID INCREASE SCA CONDITIONS FOR THE OFFSHORE
WATERS BASED ON FORECAST SEA HEIGHTS. SEE MWWCRP FOR DETAILS.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDICATE ANY MIXED PRECIP ACROSS THE NORTHWEST CWA WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON WILL CHANGE BACK OVER TO LIQUID WEDNESDAY EVENING.
ECMWF SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE GFS...AND NAM SLIGHTLY SLOWER...WITH
RESPECT TO NEXT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND RAINFALL TIMING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY. CONTINUED TO FOLLOW CLOSER TO A BLEND OF THE 00Z
GFS AND GFS ENSEMBLE. WITH THAT SAID...ISENTROPIC ASCENT ON THE
290K-300K SURFACES QUICKLY INCREASES FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING...PEAKING AROUND 12Z ACROSS THE RIO
GRANDE PLAINS AND AROUND 18Z ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS THURSDAY AT
40-45 KTS WITH VERY LOW CONDENSATION DEFICITS. STRATIFORM RAIN WITH
EMBEDDED ELEVATED SHOWERS WILL BE WIDESPREAD ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS...
KEEPING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY IN THE 40S MOST
LOCATIONS. COASTAL TROUGH REMAINS OFFSHORE AND DEEPENS BEFORE
LIFTING EAST THURSDAY NIGHT. STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OVER A LONG
FETCH ACROSS THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS ON THURSDAY COULD LEAD
TO MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DURING HIGH TIDE ON THE GULF FACING
BEACHES OF THE BARRIER ISLANDS. DOWNGLIDE QUICKLY DEVELOPS ACROSS
THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS BY 00Z FRIDAY AND BY 06Z ACROSS THE COASTAL
PLAINS...RESULTING IN STRATIFORM RAIN ENDING. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ON
FRIDAY WILL LEAD TO WARMER HIGHS. CLOUDS GRADUALLY INCREASE ON
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT DUE INTO
THE AREA ON SUNDAY. MODELS HAVE BEEN INCONSISTENT WITH PRECIP
CHANCES AND TIMING AND HAVE TRIMMED POPS BACK TO 20-30% FOR THE TIME
BEING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    52  36  48  42  49  /   0  10  50  70  90
VICTORIA          50  30  47  37  45  /   0  10  30  70  90
LAREDO            56  37  46  39  42  /   0  10  60  80  70
ALICE             53  33  47  39  46  /   0  10  60  70  90
ROCKPORT          51  36  48  41  50  /   0  10  40  70  90
COTULLA           52  35  43  37  43  /   0  10  60  80  70
KINGSVILLE        53  35  49  40  48  /   0  10  50  70  90
NAVY CORPUS       52  41  49  44  51  /   0  10  40  70  90

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: GOLIAD...VICTORIA.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS...
     BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O`CONNOR.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT
     ARANSAS OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$